NC State

20-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

12.3%NC State

87.7%Purdue

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADPurdue -12.2

PROJECTED TOTAL159.2

MODEL MONEYLINEPurdue -713

Purdue

30-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNC State 74

Projected Total159.2

Projected ScorePurdue 86

Team Comparison

NC StateMetricPurdue

60.1MMH Power Index73.2

118.4Offensive Efficiency124.8

108.6Defensive Efficiency107.8

9.8Net Efficiency17.0

6.4Strength of Schedule7.6

-11.9Last 10 Net Efficiency11.8

70.2Tempo65.4

55.1%Effective FG%57.8%

13.1%Turnover Rate13.7%

28.2%Offensive Rebound %36.2%

35.7%Free Throw Rate29.1%

6.9Average Margin11.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Purdue HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY87.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMPurdue holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (73.2–60.1), offensive efficiency (124.8–118.4), defensive efficiency (107.8–108.6), net efficiency (17.0–9.8).

NC State COUNTERS WITHball security (13.1–13.7), free throw rate (35.7–29.1).

Final

NC State

61—71

Purdue

Purdue by 10 • 59.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

NC StateTEAM STATPurdue

23-53FG23-54

43.0%FG%43.0%

4-173PT5-16

24.0%3PT%31.0%

11-15FT20-26

73.0%FT%77.0%

28Rebounds38

9Offensive Rebounds13

13Assists12

8Turnovers6

4Steals4

4Blocks1

21Fouls18

Player Box Score

NC State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jayden Taylor	Guard	37	4-10	0-1	7-8	5	4	0	0	15
Brandon Huntley-Hatfield	Forward	29	6-10	1-2	0-0	8	2	1	2	13
Ben Middlebrooks	Forward	18	3-5	0-1	3-5	5	0	1	0	9
Trey Parker	G	13	3-5	1-3	0-0	1	1	1	1	7
Michael O'Connell	Guard	36	2-6	1-3	1-2	3	6	1	0	6
Marcus Hill	G	21	2-7	1-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	5
Dontrez Styles	Guard	26	2-7	0-5	0-0	3	0	0	1	4
Breon Pass	Guard	13	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Dennis Parker Jr.	G	6	0-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Bryce Heard	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Purdue

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Trey Kaufman-Renn	F	30	8-14	0-0	6-10	8	2	0	0	22
Camden Heide	F	35	6-9	3-5	0-0	6	0	0	0	15
Braden Smith	G	38	2-8	1-4	6-6	3	6	2	0	11
Fletcher Loyer	G	31	2-8	1-3	5-6	5	1	0	0	10
Gicarri Harris	G	20	3-7	0-2	2-2	4	3	1	1	8
Caleb Furst	Forward	14	1-4	0-0	1-2	4	0	0	0	3
Myles Colvin	G	22	1-4	0-2	0-0	5	0	1	0	2
C.J. Cox	G	9	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Raleigh Burgess	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

59.3Possessions59.3

102.9Offensive Efficiency119.7

119.7Defensive Efficiency102.9

-16.9Net Efficiency16.9

47.2%Effective FG%47.2%

50.7%True Shooting %53.5%

13.5%Turnover Rate10.1%

28.3%Free Throw Rate48.1%

32.1%3-Point Rate29.6%

1.63Assist / Turnover2.00

Game Summary

Purdue won by 10 points. The game played at approximately 59.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.