Ohio State

21-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

13.6%Ohio State

86.4%Illinois

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIllinois -13.1

PROJECTED TOTAL154.4

MODEL MONEYLINEIllinois -635

Illinois

28-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreOhio State 71

Projected Total154.4

Projected ScoreIllinois 84

Team Comparison

Ohio StateMetricIllinois

64.5MMH Power Index76.5

118.1Offensive Efficiency125.0

108.1Defensive Efficiency103.3

10.0Net Efficiency21.7

6.4Strength of Schedule6.7

6.3Last 10 Net Efficiency12.7

67.2Tempo66.5

56.9%Effective FG%54.8%

15.3%Turnover Rate13.1%

30.7%Offensive Rebound %39.3%

38.3%Free Throw Rate33.8%

6.7Average Margin14.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Illinois HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY86.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIllinois holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (76.5–64.5), offensive efficiency (125.0–118.1), defensive efficiency (103.3–108.1), net efficiency (21.7–10.0).

Ohio State COUNTERS WITHshooting efficiency (56.9–54.8), free throw rate (38.3–33.8).

Final

Ohio State

74—77

Illinois

Illinois by 3 • 69.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Ohio StateTEAM STATIllinois

30-66FG26-62

45.5%FG%41.9%

4-153PT4-15

26.7%3PT%26.7%

10-13FT21-32

76.9%FT%65.6%

40Rebounds44

14Offensive Rebounds19

15Assists12

11Turnovers11

6Steals2

5Blocks4

27Fouls13

Player Box Score

Ohio State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jamison Battle	Forward	26	8-16	1-4	4-4	3	0	1	0	21
Bruce Thornton	G	37	8-14	2-4	2-3	3	10	2	0	20
Roddy Gayle Jr.	G	30	4-10	0-1	1-1	7	1	0	0	9
Zed Key	Forward	23	2-6	0-1	3-5	8	0	1	1	7
Devin Royal	F	19	3-7	0-2	0-0	2	0	0	0	6
Scotty Middleton	F	16	2-4	1-1	0-0	1	2	1	0	5
Felix Okpara	F	24	2-4	0-1	0-0	10	1	0	4	4
Dale Bonner	Guard	14	1-4	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Evan Mahaffey	F	11	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	1	1	0	0

Illinois

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Terrence Shannon Jr.	Not Available	36	8-20	2-7	10-11	3	3	2	0	28
Dain Dainja	Forward	20	7-10	0-0	4-8	8	0	0	1	18
Ty Rodgers	G	32	5-8	0-0	2-4	10	1	0	1	12
Marcus Domask	Forward	36	3-16	1-5	0-0	2	4	0	0	7
Coleman Hawkins	Guard	29	2-4	0-1	3-5	7	2	0	2	7
Luke Goode	Forward	9	1-2	1-2	0-0	1	2	0	0	3
Justin Harmon	Guard	13	0-1	0-0	2-2	1	0	0	0	2
Quincy Guerrier	Forward	20	0-1	0-0	0-2	4	0	0	0	0
Dra Gibbs-Lawhorn	G	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Niccolo Moretti	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

69.2Possessions69.2

106.9Offensive Efficiency111.3

111.3Defensive Efficiency106.9

-4.3Net Efficiency4.3

48.5%Effective FG%45.2%

51.3%True Shooting %49.9%

15.9%Turnover Rate15.9%

19.7%Free Throw Rate51.6%

22.7%3-Point Rate24.2%

1.36Assist / Turnover1.09

Game Summary

Illinois won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 69.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.