San Diego State

22-10

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

24.4%San Diego State

75.6%Utah State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUtah State -7.9

PROJECTED TOTAL152.9

MODEL MONEYLINEUtah State -310

Utah State

29-7

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSan Diego State 72

Projected Total152.9

Projected ScoreUtah State 80

Team Comparison

San Diego StateMetricUtah State

60.1MMH Power Index65.7

110.3Offensive Efficiency119.7

99.3Defensive Efficiency103.1

11.0Net Efficiency16.6

3.8Strength of Schedule3.5

0.4Last 10 Net Efficiency0.3

70.8Tempo68.6

53.2%Effective FG%56.9%

17.2%Turnover Rate15.1%

30.8%Offensive Rebound %33.0%

39.6%Free Throw Rate39.1%

7.8Average Margin11.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Utah State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY75.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUtah State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (65.7–60.1), offensive efficiency (119.7–110.3), net efficiency (16.6–11.0), shooting efficiency (56.9–53.2).

San Diego State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (99.3–103.1), strength of schedule (3.8–3.5), recent form (0.4–0.3).

Final

San Diego State

86—70

Utah State

San Diego State by 16 • 67.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

San Diego StateTEAM STATUtah State

29-62FG22-55

46.8%FG%40.0%

8-233PT5-20

34.8%3PT%25.0%

20-30FT21-32

66.7%FT%65.6%

43Rebounds35

14Offensive Rebounds10

14Assists10

5Turnovers8

6Steals3

6Blocks4

23Fouls22

Player Box Score

San Diego State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jaedon LeDee	Forward	25	8-14	1-1	5-6	8	2	1	0	22
Lamont Butler	Guard	27	4-8	3-5	5-8	5	3	1	0	16
Micah Parrish	Guard	29	6-12	1-4	2-2	7	2	2	1	15
Reese Waters	Guard	25	5-11	0-3	1-2	5	0	0	1	11
Darrion Trammell	Guard	31	2-5	2-4	4-5	0	5	1	0	10
Jay Pal	Forward	26	2-4	0-0	2-3	6	2	0	2	6
Elijah Saunders	F	16	1-5	1-5	0-0	2	0	0	1	3
Miles Heide	F	12	1-2	0-0	1-2	3	0	1	1	3
Miles Byrd	G	8	0-1	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Shay Johnson Jr.	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-2	0	0	0	0	0

Utah State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Great Osobor	Forward	31	7-10	0-0	5-10	5	1	0	3	19
Ian Martinez	Guard	34	3-7	3-6	7-7	5	2	0	0	16
Isaac Johnson	C	28	3-5	1-1	4-4	5	0	0	0	11
Darius Brown II	Guard	37	3-11	0-4	2-2	5	5	1	1	8
Mason Falslev	G	20	3-8	0-3	0-1	2	0	0	0	6
Javon Jackson	G	17	2-8	1-3	0-0	1	1	0	0	5
Kalifa Sakho	F	8	1-1	0-0	2-2	2	0	1	0	4
Karson Templin	F	8	0-1	0-0	1-2	4	1	1	0	1
Josh Uduje	Guard	15	0-4	0-3	0-2	1	0	0	0	0
Nigel Burris	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Landon Brenchley	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-2	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

67.8Possessions67.8

126.8Offensive Efficiency103.2

103.2Defensive Efficiency126.8

23.6Net Efficiency-23.6

53.2%Effective FG%44.5%

56.4%True Shooting %49.9%

7.4%Turnover Rate11.7%

48.4%Free Throw Rate58.2%

37.1%3-Point Rate36.4%

2.80Assist / Turnover1.25

Game Summary

San Diego State won by 16 points. The game played at approximately 67.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.