Wisconsin

24-11

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

13.6%Wisconsin

86.4%Illinois

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIllinois -12.8

PROJECTED TOTAL158.7

MODEL MONEYLINEIllinois -635

Illinois

28-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreWisconsin 73

Projected Total158.7

Projected ScoreIllinois 86

Team Comparison

WisconsinMetricIllinois

64.5MMH Power Index76.5

118.6Offensive Efficiency125.0

108.8Defensive Efficiency103.3

9.8Net Efficiency21.7

6.7Strength of Schedule6.7

5.6Last 10 Net Efficiency12.7

69.9Tempo66.5

54.6%Effective FG%54.8%

12.8%Turnover Rate13.1%

28.7%Offensive Rebound %39.3%

32.5%Free Throw Rate33.8%

6.9Average Margin14.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Illinois HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY86.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIllinois holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (76.5–64.5), offensive efficiency (125.0–118.6), defensive efficiency (103.3–108.8), net efficiency (21.7–9.8).

Wisconsin COUNTERS WITHball security (12.8–13.1).

Final

Wisconsin

87—93

Illinois

Illinois by 6 • 68.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

WisconsinTEAM STATIllinois

30-64FG30-57

46.9%FG%52.6%

7-203PT7-20

35.0%3PT%35.0%

20-23FT26-30

87.0%FT%86.7%

30Rebounds37

13Offensive Rebounds13

17Assists14

7Turnovers9

7Steals2

1Blocks5

20Fouls19

Player Box Score

Wisconsin

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
AJ Storr	G	38	7-20	2-7	8-10	5	1	3	0	24
Chucky Hepburn	Guard	36	7-13	0-2	6-6	5	5	3	0	20
Max Klesmit	Guard	27	6-8	4-6	0-0	4	2	0	0	16
Steve Crowl	Forward	35	5-12	1-4	0-0	5	5	0	1	11
Tyler Wahl	Forward	22	2-3	0-0	3-4	1	3	1	0	7
Carter Gilmore	Forward	16	2-3	0-1	3-3	3	0	0	0	7
Kamari McGee	Guard	8	1-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
John Blackwell	G	11	0-2	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0
Nolan Winter	F	7	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Illinois

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Terrence Shannon Jr.	Not Available	36	8-15	3-6	15-17	4	2	1	0	34
Marcus Domask	Forward	39	8-11	1-1	9-10	7	8	0	0	26
Dain Dainja	Forward	23	4-4	0-0	1-1	7	0	0	0	9
Coleman Hawkins	Guard	37	3-8	1-5	0-0	6	3	0	2	7
Ty Rodgers	G	17	3-6	0-0	1-2	5	1	1	1	7
Quincy Guerrier	Forward	16	2-7	2-4	0-0	0	0	0	0	6
Justin Harmon	Guard	10	1-2	0-1	0-0	3	0	0	0	2
Dra Gibbs-Lawhorn	G	7	1-2	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Luke Goode	Forward	15	0-2	0-2	0-0	2	0	0	2	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.1Possessions68.1

127.8Offensive Efficiency136.6

136.6Defensive Efficiency127.8

-8.8Net Efficiency8.8

52.3%Effective FG%58.8%

58.1%True Shooting %65.3%

10.2%Turnover Rate13.4%

35.9%Free Throw Rate52.6%

31.3%3-Point Rate35.1%

2.43Assist / Turnover1.56

Game Summary

Illinois won by 6 points. The game played at approximately 68.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.