Colorado State

21-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

11.8%Colorado State

88.2%Virginia

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADVirginia -14.2

PROJECTED TOTAL149.7

MODEL MONEYLINEVirginia -747

Virginia

30-6

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreColorado State 68

Projected Total149.7

Projected ScoreVirginia 82

Team Comparison

Colorado StateMetricVirginia

55.4MMH Power Index68.9

117.1Offensive Efficiency119.0

109.9Defensive Efficiency101.8

7.2Net Efficiency17.2

0.4Strength of Schedule5.2

4.3Last 10 Net Efficiency6.4

64.7Tempo67.6

58.6%Effective FG%55.0%

18.3%Turnover Rate16.0%

29.2%Offensive Rebound %37.4%

41.2%Free Throw Rate33.2%

4.6Average Margin11.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Virginia HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY88.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMVirginia holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (68.9–55.4), offensive efficiency (119.0–117.1), defensive efficiency (101.8–109.9), net efficiency (17.2–7.2).

Colorado State COUNTERS WITHshooting efficiency (58.6–55.0), free throw rate (41.2–33.2).

Final

Colorado State

67—42

Virginia

Colorado State by 25 • 60.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Colorado StateTEAM STATVirginia

26-47FG14-56

55.3%FG%25.0%

5-143PT3-17

35.7%3PT%17.6%

10-14FT11-17

71.4%FT%64.7%

43Rebounds24

6Offensive Rebounds7

13Assists6

13Turnovers4

1Steals4

1Blocks1

15Fouls15

Player Box Score

Colorado State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Joel Scott	Forward	32	9-13	0-0	5-7	11	0	0	0	23
Nique Clifford	Guard	30	7-12	1-4	2-3	10	6	0	1	17
Patrick Cartier	Forward	23	4-6	2-3	0-0	2	0	0	0	10
Jalen Lake	Guard	19	3-5	1-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	7
Isaiah Stevens	Guard	35	2-5	1-2	0-0	6	4	0	0	5
Josiah Strong	Guard	20	1-3	0-1	0-0	2	1	0	0	2
Jack Payne	G	2	0-0	0-0	2-2	0	0	0	0	2
Kyan Evans	G	5	0-1	0-1	1-2	2	0	0	0	1
Joe Palmer	Guard	16	0-1	0-1	0-0	3	2	1	0	0
Tavi Jackson	G	9	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Rashaan Mbemba	F	6	0-1	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	0
Kyle Evans	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Luke Murphy	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Virginia

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Reece Beekman	Guard	35	4-16	0-3	7-7	3	4	0	0	15
Jordan Minor	Forward	20	3-4	0-0	1-2	2	0	1	0	7
Isaac McKneely	G	36	2-13	2-6	0-0	2	0	0	0	6
Ryan Dunn	Forward	25	2-5	0-1	1-2	5	0	1	1	5
Jacob Groves	Forward	19	1-8	1-4	0-4	3	0	0	0	3
Blake Buchanan	F	11	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	1	0	2
Dante Harris	G	7	0-2	0-1	2-2	1	0	0	0	2
Elijah Gertrude	G	3	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Taine Murray	Guard	26	0-3	0-1	0-0	1	1	0	0	0
Andrew Rohde	G	15	0-2	0-1	0-0	1	1	1	0	0
Leon Bond III	G	3	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

60.9Possessions60.9

110.0Offensive Efficiency69.0

69.0Defensive Efficiency110.0

41.1Net Efficiency-41.1

60.6%Effective FG%27.7%

62.4%True Shooting %32.8%

21.4%Turnover Rate6.5%

29.8%Free Throw Rate30.4%

29.8%3-Point Rate30.4%

1.00Assist / Turnover1.50

Game Summary

Colorado State won by 25 points. The game played at approximately 60.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.