Colorado

17-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

22.0%Colorado

78.0%Boise State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADBoise State -9.1

PROJECTED TOTAL159.2

MODEL MONEYLINEBoise State -355

Boise State

20-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreColorado 75

Projected Total159.2

Projected ScoreBoise State 84

Team Comparison

ColoradoMetricBoise State

52.7MMH Power Index59.5

112.9Offensive Efficiency113.9

112.4Defensive Efficiency107.1

0.5Net Efficiency6.8

5.1Strength of Schedule4.2

-7.7Last 10 Net Efficiency5.2

71.0Tempo68.6

53.0%Effective FG%52.7%

14.6%Turnover Rate17.0%

29.1%Offensive Rebound %33.8%

37.9%Free Throw Rate42.7%

0.4Average Margin4.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Boise State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY78.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMBoise State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.5–52.7), offensive efficiency (113.9–112.9), defensive efficiency (107.1–112.4), net efficiency (6.8–0.5).

Colorado COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (5.1–4.2), shooting efficiency (53.0–52.7), ball security (14.6–17.0).

Final

Colorado

60—53

Boise State

Colorado by 7 • 60.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

ColoradoTEAM STATBoise State

21-48FG23-67

43.8%FG%34.3%

4-153PT2-18

26.7%3PT%11.1%

14-15FT5-6

93.3%FT%83.3%

31Rebounds41

6Offensive Rebounds19

12Assists4

12Turnovers9

5Steals5

3Blocks1

13Fouls17

Player Box Score

Colorado

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tristan da Silva	Forward	37	7-11	3-6	3-3	3	1	0	1	20
KJ Simpson	Guard	39	6-18	1-5	6-6	11	4	2	0	19
Eddie Lampkin Jr.	Center	35	6-8	0-0	1-1	6	3	0	0	13
Luke O'Brien	Forward	30	2-3	0-1	1-1	2	0	2	0	5
J'Vonne Hadley	G	37	0-3	0-1	2-2	4	3	1	0	2
Javon Ruffin	G	9	0-1	0-1	1-2	2	1	0	1	1
Cody Williams	Forward	11	0-4	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	1	0
Bangot Dak	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Boise State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Chibuzo Agbo	Guard	37	8-14	1-6	0-0	4	0	1	0	17
Roddie Anderson	G	38	6-15	1-3	1-2	4	0	2	0	14
Cam Martin	Forward	24	4-8	0-1	2-2	8	1	0	0	10
Tyson Degenhart	Forward	30	3-10	0-2	0-0	4	1	1	1	6
O'Mar Stanley	Forward	30	1-9	0-1	2-2	11	0	1	0	4
Max Rice	Guard	28	1-9	0-5	0-0	1	2	0	0	2
Andrew Meadow	F	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Kobe Young	Guard	5	0-2	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	0
Jace Whiting	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

60.5Possessions60.5

99.2Offensive Efficiency87.6

87.6Defensive Efficiency99.2

11.6Net Efficiency-11.6

47.9%Effective FG%35.8%

54.4%True Shooting %37.9%

19.6%Turnover Rate15.0%

31.3%Free Throw Rate9.0%

31.3%3-Point Rate26.9%

1.00Assist / Turnover0.44

Game Summary

Colorado won by 7 points. The game played at approximately 60.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.