Grambling

14-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

13.4%Grambling

86.6%Montana State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMontana State -12.4

PROJECTED TOTAL145.8

MODEL MONEYLINEMontana State -646

Montana State

18-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreGrambling 67

Projected Total145.8

Projected ScoreMontana State 79

Team Comparison

GramblingMetricMontana State

41.4MMH Power Index53.6

100.7Offensive Efficiency114.4

100.4Defensive Efficiency104.9

0.3Net Efficiency9.5

-5.7Strength of Schedule-3.7

-0.4Last 10 Net Efficiency4.9

69.9Tempo68.1

49.2%Effective FG%55.1%

20.9%Turnover Rate14.7%

30.4%Offensive Rebound %28.1%

42.2%Free Throw Rate30.7%

0.2Average Margin6.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Montana State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY86.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMontana State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.6–41.4), offensive efficiency (114.4–100.7), net efficiency (9.5–0.3), strength of schedule (-3.7–-5.7).

Grambling COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (100.4–104.9), offensive rebounding (30.4–28.1), free throw rate (42.2–30.7).

Final

Grambling

88—81

Montana State

Grambling by 7 • 73.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

GramblingTEAM STATMontana State

33-66FG30-58

50.0%FG%52.0%

4-103PT13-30

40.0%3PT%43.0%

18-23FT8-15

78.0%FT%53.0%

41Rebounds27

13Offensive Rebounds5

11Assists18

11Turnovers12

6Steals9

4Blocks3

14Fouls18

Player Box Score

Grambling

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jimel Cofer Jr.	G	22	7-9	0-0	5-6	2	0	2	0	19
Jourdan Smith	Guard	45	6-10	2-2	4-5	9	0	2	3	18
Antwan Burnett	G	40	5-9	2-3	6-7	5	0	0	0	18
Mikale Stevenson	G	20	4-8	0-1	2-2	1	1	1	0	10
Tra'Michael Moton	Guard	33	3-12	0-0	0-0	4	6	0	0	6
Kintavious Dozier	G	19	3-9	0-3	0-0	5	2	0	1	6
Jonathan Aku	Forward	25	2-3	0-0	1-2	6	1	0	0	5
Zahad Munford	Guard	1	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Montana State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Robert Ford III	Guard	34	9-13	6-8	2-3	6	4	0	0	26
Brian Goracke	Forward	38	5-11	4-9	1-2	4	0	1	0	15
Brandon Walker	F	18	7-10	0-1	0-3	6	1	1	1	14
John Olmsted	Forward	27	4-5	1-1	1-1	3	4	0	0	10
Eddie Turner III	Guard	42	2-7	0-2	3-4	1	5	5	0	7
Sam Lecholat	Forward	21	2-3	1-1	1-2	3	1	0	1	6
Tyler Patterson	Guard	42	1-9	1-8	0-0	4	2	2	1	3
Jed Miller	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

73.5Possessions73.5

119.7Offensive Efficiency110.2

110.2Defensive Efficiency119.7

9.5Net Efficiency-9.5

53.0%Effective FG%62.9%

57.2%True Shooting %62.2%

14.7%Turnover Rate16.6%

34.8%Free Throw Rate25.9%

15.2%3-Point Rate51.7%

1.00Assist / Turnover1.50

Game Summary

Grambling won by 7 points. The game played at approximately 73.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Effective FG%, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.