Wagner

14-17

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

4.8%Wagner

95.2%North Carolina

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNorth Carolina -19.3

PROJECTED TOTAL148.5

MODEL MONEYLINENorth Carolina -1983

North Carolina

24-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreWagner 65

Projected Total148.5

Projected ScoreNorth Carolina 84

Team Comparison

WagnerMetricNorth Carolina

42.9MMH Power Index65.2

105.5Offensive Efficiency115.5

106.1Defensive Efficiency103.8

-0.6Net Efficiency11.7

-5.0Strength of Schedule7.6

0.3Last 10 Net Efficiency-1.8

67.6Tempo69.0

50.2%Effective FG%54.6%

18.9%Turnover Rate13.9%

34.0%Offensive Rebound %31.1%

31.6%Free Throw Rate38.1%

-0.4Average Margin8.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

North Carolina HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY95.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorth Carolina holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (65.2–42.9), offensive efficiency (115.5–105.5), defensive efficiency (103.8–106.1), net efficiency (11.7–-0.6).

Wagner COUNTERS WITHrecent form (0.3–-1.8), offensive rebounding (34.0–31.1).

Final

Wagner

62—90

North Carolina

North Carolina by 28 • 65.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

WagnerTEAM STATNorth Carolina

23-58FG33-60

39.7%FG%55.0%

7-183PT9-18

38.9%3PT%50.0%

9-15FT15-19

60.0%FT%78.9%

24Rebounds43

8Offensive Rebounds13

8Assists14

8Turnovers9

5Steals4

2Blocks3

13Fouls13

Player Box Score

Wagner

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Melvin Council Jr.	G	40	6-20	1-3	5-8	4	1	0	2	18
Julian Brown	Guard	40	6-10	4-8	2-2	0	4	1	0	18
Keyontae Lewis	F	23	6-8	0-0	1-2	4	0	0	0	13
Javier Ezquerra	G	40	2-7	1-3	0-2	3	3	4	0	5
Tyje Kelton	F	26	1-5	1-2	0-0	3	0	0	0	3
Seck Zongo	Forward	9	1-4	0-1	1-1	1	0	0	0	3
Tahron Allen	Not Available	22	1-4	0-1	0-0	5	0	0	0	2

North Carolina

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
RJ Davis	Guard	33	8-13	4-7	2-2	2	2	1	0	22
Armando Bacot	Forward	30	7-13	0-0	6-7	15	1	1	1	20
Jae'Lyn Withers	Forward	22	5-7	0-0	6-9	10	3	1	0	16
Cormac Ryan	Guard	31	5-11	2-6	1-1	0	1	0	1	13
Harrison Ingram	Forward	28	4-7	1-2	0-0	5	1	1	0	9
Seth Trimble	G	14	2-3	1-1	0-0	2	2	0	0	5
Paxson Wojcik	Guard	8	1-2	1-2	0-0	2	0	0	0	3
Rob Landry	Guard	1	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Elliot Cadeau	G	18	0-2	0-0	0-0	3	3	0	0	0
Jalen Washington	F	8	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Zayden High	F	3	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	1	0
Creighton Lebo	Guard	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
James Okonkwo	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Duwe Farris	Forward	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

65.1Possessions65.1

95.2Offensive Efficiency138.2

138.2Defensive Efficiency95.2

-43.0Net Efficiency43.0

45.7%Effective FG%62.5%

47.6%True Shooting %65.2%

12.3%Turnover Rate13.8%

25.9%Free Throw Rate31.7%

31.0%3-Point Rate30.0%

1.00Assist / Turnover1.56

Game Summary

North Carolina won by 28 points. The game played at approximately 65.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.