Illinois

28-9

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

57.3%Illinois

42.7%Arkansas

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIllinois -1.2

PROJECTED TOTAL166.3

MODEL MONEYLINEIllinois -134

Arkansas

28-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreIllinois 84

Projected Total166.3

Projected ScoreArkansas 83

Team Comparison

IllinoisMetricArkansas

76.5MMH Power Index69.3

125.0Offensive Efficiency122.2

103.3Defensive Efficiency109.8

21.7Net Efficiency12.4

6.7Strength of Schedule8.6

12.7Last 10 Net Efficiency3.4

66.5Tempo73.8

54.8%Effective FG%56.4%

13.1%Turnover Rate12.2%

39.3%Offensive Rebound %31.8%

33.8%Free Throw Rate36.5%

14.5Average Margin9.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Illinois HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY57.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIllinois holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (76.5–69.3), offensive efficiency (125.0–122.2), defensive efficiency (103.3–109.8), net efficiency (21.7–12.4).

Arkansas COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (8.6–6.7), shooting efficiency (56.4–54.8), ball security (12.2–13.1).

Final

Illinois

90—77

Arkansas

Illinois by 13 • 72.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

IllinoisTEAM STATArkansas

30-57FG28-58

53.0%FG%48.0%

15-313PT5-17

48.0%3PT%29.0%

15-22FT16-27

68.0%FT%59.0%

34Rebounds31

6Offensive Rebounds10

16Assists12

11Turnovers11

7Steals7

4Blocks2

22Fouls20

Player Box Score

Illinois

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kasparas Jakucionis	Guard	34	7-13	2-5	7-8	6	4	0	0	23
Tomislav Ivisic	C	30	7-14	6-9	1-2	10	2	2	3	21
Kylan Boswell	G	31	6-10	1-4	5-7	5	6	1	1	18
Ben Humrichous	F	29	3-4	3-4	0-0	2	1	1	0	9
Morez Johnson Jr.	F	14	2-2	0-0	2-4	4	0	2	0	6
Will Riley	Forward	29	2-9	1-5	0-1	0	2	1	0	5
Dra Gibbs-Lawhorn	G	14	2-3	1-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	5
Jake Davis	F	7	1-1	1-1	0-0	0	1	0	0	3
Tre White	G	11	0-1	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Carey Booth	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Arkansas

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Adou Thiero	Forward	34	7-13	0-2	12-21	6	1	1	0	26
Zvonimir Ivisic	C	22	5-9	3-6	0-0	6	0	2	2	13
Billy Richmond III	G	32	6-9	0-2	0-1	4	0	2	0	12
D.J. Wagner	G	30	4-9	0-1	0-0	0	3	0	0	8
Boogie Fland	G	25	2-12	0-3	4-5	4	1	0	0	8
Trevon Brazile	F	7	2-2	1-1	0-0	2	1	0	0	5
Johnell Davis	Guard	32	1-3	1-2	0-0	2	6	2	0	3
Jonas Aidoo	Forward	11	1-1	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	2
Karter Knox	G	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

72.2Possessions72.2

124.7Offensive Efficiency106.6

106.6Defensive Efficiency124.7

18.0Net Efficiency-18.0

65.8%Effective FG%52.6%

66.7%True Shooting %54.4%

15.2%Turnover Rate15.3%

38.6%Free Throw Rate46.6%

54.4%3-Point Rate29.3%

1.45Assist / Turnover1.09

Game Summary

Illinois won by 13 points. The game played at approximately 72.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.