Morehead State

20-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

2.3%Morehead State

97.7%Illinois

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIllinois -24.8

PROJECTED TOTAL153.1

MODEL MONEYLINEIllinois -4248

Illinois

28-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMorehead State 64

Projected Total153.1

Projected ScoreIllinois 89

Team Comparison

Morehead StateMetricIllinois

47.3MMH Power Index76.5

110.8Offensive Efficiency125.0

110.0Defensive Efficiency103.3

0.8Net Efficiency21.7

-4.0Strength of Schedule6.7

3.1Last 10 Net Efficiency12.7

67.9Tempo66.5

51.3%Effective FG%54.8%

17.3%Turnover Rate13.1%

36.4%Offensive Rebound %39.3%

37.9%Free Throw Rate33.8%

0.5Average Margin14.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Illinois HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY97.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIllinois holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (76.5–47.3), offensive efficiency (125.0–110.8), defensive efficiency (103.3–110.0), net efficiency (21.7–0.8).

Morehead State COUNTERS WITHfree throw rate (37.9–33.8).

Final

Morehead State

69—85

Illinois

Illinois by 16 • 63.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Morehead StateTEAM STATIllinois

26-65FG32-59

40.0%FG%54.2%

11-303PT12-26

36.7%3PT%46.2%

6-8FT9-12

75.0%FT%75.0%

32Rebounds37

12Offensive Rebounds9

14Assists24

6Turnovers9

7Steals5

—Blocks7

13Fouls9

Player Box Score

Morehead State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Riley Minix	Forward	38	9-21	5-10	4-4	5	0	1	27
Drew Thelwell	Guard	36	3-8	1-3	1-2	2	4	1	8
Kalil Thomas	Guard	37	2-9	2-8	0-0	2	4	2	6
Eddie Ricks III	F	17	1-3	0-2	1-2	4	1	1	3
Dieonte Miles	Forward	21	1-1	0-0	0-0	3	1	1	2
Zach Iyeyemi	Forward	12	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0
Jerone Morton	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0
George Marshall	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0
Brady Dingess	Guard	1	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0

Illinois

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Terrence Shannon Jr.	Not Available	35	9-16	3-9	5-6	2	4	2	2	26
Dain Dainja	Forward	23	9-9	0-0	3-4	8	0	0	2	21
Marcus Domask	Forward	36	5-14	2-4	0-0	11	10	0	0	12
Coleman Hawkins	Guard	32	4-7	2-3	0-0	4	5	2	1	10
Luke Goode	Forward	21	3-4	3-4	0-0	4	1	0	0	9
Dra Gibbs-Lawhorn	G	10	2-2	2-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	6
Niccolo Moretti	G	3	0-0	0-0	1-2	0	0	0	0	1
Ty Rodgers	G	13	0-2	0-0	0-0	3	2	0	0	0
Quincy Guerrier	Forward	12	0-2	0-1	0-0	3	1	1	1	0
Justin Harmon	Guard	10	0-2	0-2	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Amani Hansberry	F	3	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	1	0
AJ Redd	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Max Williams	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

63.8Possessions63.8

108.2Offensive Efficiency133.2

133.2Defensive Efficiency108.2

-25.1Net Efficiency25.1

48.5%Effective FG%64.4%

50.1%True Shooting %65.7%

9.6%Turnover Rate13.9%

12.3%Free Throw Rate20.3%

46.2%3-Point Rate44.1%

2.33Assist / Turnover2.67

Game Summary

Illinois won by 16 points. The game played at approximately 63.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.