NC State

20-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

24.2%NC State

75.8%Texas Tech

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADTexas Tech -7.5

PROJECTED TOTAL159.8

MODEL MONEYLINETexas Tech -313

Texas Tech

23-11

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNC State 76

Projected Total159.8

Projected ScoreTexas Tech 84

Team Comparison

NC StateMetricTexas Tech

60.1MMH Power Index65.8

118.4Offensive Efficiency117.8

108.6Defensive Efficiency107.2

9.8Net Efficiency10.6

6.4Strength of Schedule9.4

-11.9Last 10 Net Efficiency0.9

70.2Tempo68.1

55.1%Effective FG%56.4%

13.1%Turnover Rate15.8%

28.2%Offensive Rebound %32.6%

35.7%Free Throw Rate28.2%

6.9Average Margin7.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Texas Tech HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY75.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMTexas Tech holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (65.8–60.1), defensive efficiency (107.2–108.6), net efficiency (10.6–9.8), strength of schedule (9.4–6.4).

NC State COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (118.4–117.8), ball security (13.1–15.8), free throw rate (35.7–28.2).

Final

NC State

80—67

Texas Tech

NC State by 13 • 67.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

NC StateTEAM STATTexas Tech

27-53FG24-62

50.9%FG%38.7%

5-133PT7-31

38.5%3PT%22.6%

21-26FT12-14

80.8%FT%85.7%

33Rebounds33

8Offensive Rebounds12

15Assists15

10Turnovers10

8Steals3

5Blocks2

14Fouls20

Player Box Score

NC State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ben Middlebrooks	Forward	23	6-8	0-0	9-10	4	1	2	2	21
Mohamed Diarra	Forward	39	6-9	1-2	4-5	12	1	0	2	17
DJ Horne	Guard	34	5-13	3-8	3-3	6	5	1	0	16
DJ Burns	Forward	16	7-11	0-0	2-4	1	0	0	0	16
Casey Morsell	Guard	34	2-8	1-2	3-4	2	1	4	1	8
Breon Pass	Guard	1	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	2
Michael O'Connell	Guard	37	0-3	0-1	0-0	5	6	0	0	0
Jayden Taylor	Guard	16	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

Texas Tech

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Joe Toussaint	Guard	40	5-15	1-7	5-6	3	3	2	0	16
Pop Isaacs	G	33	3-16	1-10	5-6	3	2	1	0	12
Darrion Williams	F	40	4-11	2-6	0-0	7	6	0	0	10
Kerwin Walton	Guard	21	3-5	3-4	0-0	5	0	0	0	9
Chance McMillian	Guard	31	4-9	0-4	0-0	2	2	0	0	8
Warren Washington	Forward	18	3-4	0-0	0-0	8	0	0	1	6
Robert Jennings II	F	17	2-2	0-0	2-2	2	2	0	1	6

Advanced Game Stats

67.1Possessions67.1

119.2Offensive Efficiency99.9

99.9Defensive Efficiency119.2

19.4Net Efficiency-19.4

55.7%Effective FG%44.4%

61.2%True Shooting %48.8%

14.8%Turnover Rate15.0%

49.1%Free Throw Rate22.6%

24.5%3-Point Rate50.0%

1.50Assist / Turnover1.50

Game Summary

NC State won by 13 points. The game played at approximately 67.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.