Nevada

24-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

37.3%Nevada

62.7%Dayton

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADDayton -4.4

PROJECTED TOTAL146.5

MODEL MONEYLINEDayton -168

Dayton

25-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNevada 71

Projected Total146.5

Projected ScoreDayton 75

Team Comparison

NevadaMetricDayton

59.8MMH Power Index59.9

112.4Offensive Efficiency108.5

105.7Defensive Efficiency101.5

6.7Net Efficiency7.0

3.7Strength of Schedule5.7

7.8Last 10 Net Efficiency6.4

67.7Tempo68.3

50.2%Effective FG%52.0%

14.8%Turnover Rate16.9%

31.9%Offensive Rebound %26.7%

46.0%Free Throw Rate47.6%

4.5Average Margin4.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Dayton HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY62.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMDayton holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.9–59.8), defensive efficiency (101.5–105.7), net efficiency (7.0–6.7), strength of schedule (5.7–3.7).

Nevada COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (112.4–108.5), recent form (7.8–6.4), ball security (14.8–16.9).

Final

Nevada

60—63

Dayton

Dayton by 3 • 63.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

NevadaTEAM STATDayton

25-58FG21-46

43.1%FG%45.7%

7-223PT8-19

31.8%3PT%42.1%

3-6FT13-15

50.0%FT%86.7%

30Rebounds30

8Offensive Rebounds3

13Assists16

12Turnovers12

8Steals7

2Blocks2

14Fouls14

Player Box Score

Nevada

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jarod Lucas	Guard	38	7-17	3-9	0-0	4	0	0	0	17
Nick Davidson	F	36	6-13	2-5	1-2	7	0	3	0	15
Tre Coleman	Forward	34	3-6	2-3	0-0	3	2	2	0	8
Daniel Foster	Guard	24	1-3	0-2	0-0	4	1	1	2	2
Tylan Pope	Forward	10	1-4	0-1	0-0	3	1	0	0	2
K.J. Hymes	Forward	16	0-0	0-0	1-2	3	1	0	0	1
Tyler Rolison	G	7	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Dayton

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
DaRon Holmes II	Center	32	5-8	0-1	8-9	9	1	3	1	18
Koby Brea	Guard	38	5-9	5-8	0-0	2	3	1	0	15
Nate Santos	Forward	34	2-7	1-3	3-4	7	3	0	0	8
Enoch Cheeks	Guard	33	3-7	0-1	2-2	3	3	2	1	8
Isaac Jack	F	8	3-4	0-0	0-0	4	0	1	0	6
Javon Bennett	G	18	2-5	1-3	0-0	2	1	0	0	5
Kobe Elvis	Guard	29	1-5	1-3	0-0	0	5	0	0	3
Petras Padegimas	F	8	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

63.5Possessions63.5

94.5Offensive Efficiency99.2

99.2Defensive Efficiency94.5

-4.7Net Efficiency4.7

49.1%Effective FG%54.3%

49.3%True Shooting %59.3%

18.5%Turnover Rate19.3%

10.3%Free Throw Rate32.6%

37.9%3-Point Rate41.3%

1.08Assist / Turnover1.33

Game Summary

Dayton won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 63.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, True Shooting %, Net Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.