Michigan State

27-8

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

90.9%Michigan State

9.1%Mississippi State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMichigan State -14.3

PROJECTED TOTAL156.1

MODEL MONEYLINEMichigan State -999

Mississippi State

13-19

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMichigan State 85

Projected Total156.1

Projected ScoreMississippi State 71

Team Comparison

Michigan StateMetricMississippi State

69.8MMH Power Index44.6

117.0Offensive Efficiency107.4

101.5Defensive Efficiency113.2

15.5Net Efficiency-5.8

7.2Strength of Schedule5.0

9.5Last 10 Net Efficiency-17.5

67.3Tempo72.3

54.1%Effective FG%51.6%

17.2%Turnover Rate16.1%

37.7%Offensive Rebound %29.8%

36.6%Free Throw Rate30.9%

10.5Average Margin-4.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Michigan State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY90.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMichigan State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (69.8–44.6), offensive efficiency (117.0–107.4), defensive efficiency (101.5–113.2), net efficiency (15.5–-5.8).

Mississippi State COUNTERS WITHball security (16.1–17.2).

Final

Michigan State

69—51

Mississippi State

Michigan State by 18 • 61.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Michigan StateTEAM STATMississippi State

27-54FG20-54

50.0%FG%37.0%

10-233PT6-27

43.5%3PT%22.2%

5-6FT5-10

83.3%FT%50.0%

35Rebounds29

11Offensive Rebounds13

14Assists13

16Turnovers15

7Steals9

3Blocks2

15Fouls11

Player Box Score

Michigan State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tyson Walker	Guard	34	7-12	3-6	2-2	3	2	3	0	19
Jaden Akins	Guard	33	6-14	3-8	0-0	7	0	1	1	15
Malik Hall	Forward	28	4-8	0-1	2-2	5	0	1	0	10
AJ Hoggard	Guard	30	3-6	1-2	1-2	2	8	1	0	8
Tre Holloman	G	17	2-3	1-1	0-0	2	1	0	0	5
Xavier Booker	C	11	2-6	1-4	0-0	1	0	0	1	5
Davis Smith	Guard	1	1-2	1-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Mady Sissoko	Center	17	1-1	0-0	0-0	9	1	1	1	2
Jaxon Kohler	F	8	1-2	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Carson Cooper	C	16	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	0	0
Coen Carr	F	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Steven Izzo	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

Mississippi State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Josh Hubbard	G	34	6-18	3-11	0-0	3	2	1	0	15
Tolu Smith	Forward	27	3-5	0-0	3-5	2	1	1	0	9
Cameron Matthews	Forward	25	3-5	0-0	2-4	5	2	4	2	8
D.J. Jeffries	Forward	17	3-5	2-4	0-0	2	0	0	0	8
Shakeel Moore	Guard	26	2-7	1-4	0-1	3	1	0	0	5
Dashawn Davis	Guard	25	2-6	0-4	0-0	1	3	0	0	4
Jimmy Bell Jr.	Forward	12	1-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
KeShawn Murphy	F	17	0-5	0-3	0-0	2	2	1	0	0
Shawn Jones Jr.	G	13	0-1	0-1	0-0	5	2	2	0	0
Adrian Myers	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Gai Chol	C	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Trey Fort	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Isaac Stansbury	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

61.4Possessions61.4

112.4Offensive Efficiency83.1

83.1Defensive Efficiency112.4

29.3Net Efficiency-29.3

59.3%Effective FG%42.6%

60.7%True Shooting %43.4%

25.9%Turnover Rate24.7%

11.1%Free Throw Rate18.5%

42.6%3-Point Rate50.0%

0.88Assist / Turnover0.87

Game Summary

Michigan State won by 18 points. The game played at approximately 61.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.