Colgate

18-15

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

16.3%Colgate

83.7%Baylor

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADBaylor -11.1

PROJECTED TOTAL157.4

MODEL MONEYLINEBaylor -513

Baylor

16-17

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreColgate 73

Projected Total157.4

Projected ScoreBaylor 84

Team Comparison

ColgateMetricBaylor

48.8MMH Power Index58.9

111.7Offensive Efficiency116.7

109.0Defensive Efficiency109.5

2.7Net Efficiency7.2

-2.0Strength of Schedule4.0

-0.3Last 10 Net Efficiency-2.2

68.4Tempo69.7

54.5%Effective FG%54.4%

14.8%Turnover Rate16.4%

26.9%Offensive Rebound %37.5%

30.0%Free Throw Rate34.8%

1.8Average Margin5.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Baylor HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY83.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMBaylor holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (58.9–48.8), offensive efficiency (116.7–111.7), net efficiency (7.2–2.7), strength of schedule (4.0–-2.0).

Colgate COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (109.0–109.5), recent form (-0.3–-2.2), shooting efficiency (54.5–54.4).

Final

Colgate

67—92

Baylor

Baylor by 25 • 63.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

ColgateTEAM STATBaylor

26-57FG33-57

45.6%FG%57.9%

5-183PT16-30

27.8%3PT%53.3%

10-14FT10-14

71.4%FT%71.4%

24Rebounds33

9Offensive Rebounds11

11Assists17

8Turnovers12

10Steals6

3Blocks2

12Fouls15

Player Box Score

Colgate

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Keegan Records	Forward	23	6-10	0-1	2-2	3	2	2	0	14
Sam Thomson	Forward	15	5-6	0-0	1-2	3	1	0	0	11
Braeden Smith	G	30	3-8	2-5	2-2	4	0	2	1	10
Ryan Moffatt	Forward	26	3-5	1-2	2-2	3	3	1	0	9
Jalen Cox	G	23	3-7	0-0	0-0	1	2	1	0	6
Jeff Woodward	Forward	19	2-2	0-0	1-2	2	2	1	2	5
Parker Jones	G	14	1-3	1-2	2-2	1	0	2	0	5
Chandler Baker	Guard	10	1-7	1-6	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Brady Cummins	G	23	1-5	0-0	0-1	3	0	1	0	2
Nicolas Louis-Jacques	Guard	13	1-3	0-2	0-1	2	1	0	0	2
Sam Wright	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Cooper Wright	F	1	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Julian Scott	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Kyle Carlesimo	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Baylor

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jalen Bridges	Forward	36	9-14	5-8	0-1	5	2	1	0	23
Ja'Kobe Walter	Guard	34	4-11	3-8	8-10	4	0	0	1	19
Jayden Nunn	Guard	33	5-8	4-5	1-2	4	3	0	1	15
RayJ Dennis	Guard	34	4-8	2-5	0-0	4	9	2	0	10
Yves Missi	Center	16	4-6	0-0	1-1	3	0	1	0	9
Josh Ojianwuna	F	22	4-4	0-0	0-0	7	0	1	0	8
Austin Sacks	Forward	2	1-1	1-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Jonathan Tchamwa Tchatchoua	Forward	2	1-1	1-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Caleb Lohner	Forward	14	1-3	0-1	0-0	4	0	1	0	2
Miro Little	G	7	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	3	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

63.7Possessions63.7

105.2Offensive Efficiency144.4

144.4Defensive Efficiency105.2

-39.2Net Efficiency39.2

50.0%Effective FG%71.9%

52.6%True Shooting %72.3%

12.8%Turnover Rate18.6%

24.6%Free Throw Rate24.6%

31.6%3-Point Rate52.6%

1.38Assist / Turnover1.42

Game Summary

Baylor won by 25 points. The game played at approximately 63.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.