Yale

23-7

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

40.2%Yale

59.8%Auburn

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADAuburn -2.2

PROJECTED TOTAL157.1

MODEL MONEYLINEAuburn -149

Auburn

21-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreYale 77

Projected Total157.1

Projected ScoreAuburn 80

Team Comparison

YaleMetricAuburn

65.4MMH Power Index64.4

121.4Offensive Efficiency118.8

105.8Defensive Efficiency113.0

15.6Net Efficiency5.8

1.6Strength of Schedule7.5

8.9Last 10 Net Efficiency8.0

64.5Tempo69.8

56.8%Effective FG%53.1%

13.9%Turnover Rate14.5%

33.3%Offensive Rebound %36.5%

34.4%Free Throw Rate43.8%

10.1Average Margin4.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Yale HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY59.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMYale holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (65.4–64.4), offensive efficiency (121.4–118.8), defensive efficiency (105.8–113.0), net efficiency (15.6–5.8).

Auburn COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (7.5–1.6), offensive rebounding (36.5–33.3), free throw rate (43.8–34.4).

Final

Yale

78—76

Auburn

Yale by 2 • 68.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

YaleTEAM STATAuburn

24-52FG27-53

46.2%FG%50.9%

9-203PT7-20

45.0%3PT%35.0%

21-31FT15-22

67.7%FT%68.2%

30Rebounds35

9Offensive Rebounds9

10Assists11

11Turnovers14

10Steals6

2Blocks3

19Fouls25

Player Box Score

Yale

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
John Poulakidas	Guard	36	10-15	6-9	2-5	2	2	2	1	28
August Mahoney	Guard	26	2-5	1-4	9-11	1	0	0	0	14
Danny Wolf	Center	33	4-15	1-5	4-5	5	3	1	0	13
Matt Knowling	Forward	29	2-5	0-0	3-5	4	3	1	0	7
Yassine Gharram	G	17	3-4	0-1	1-2	0	1	0	0	7
Bez Mbeng	Guard	37	2-5	1-1	0-1	5	1	5	0	5
Nick Townsend	F	11	1-1	0-0	2-2	1	0	0	0	4
Samson Aletan	C	7	0-2	0-0	0-0	2	0	1	1	0
Casey Simmons	G	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Auburn

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Johni Broome	Forward	26	7-10	1-2	9-11	13	4	2	1	24
Denver Jones	Guard	27	5-7	3-5	4-6	1	0	0	0	17
Jaylin Williams	Forward	26	6-9	1-3	0-0	5	0	1	1	13
K.D. Johnson	Guard	26	3-9	0-3	1-2	2	1	0	0	7
Tre Donaldson	G	27	2-7	1-2	0-2	6	4	0	0	5
Chaney Johnson	Forward	14	2-4	0-1	1-1	0	0	0	0	5
Chris Moore	Forward	24	1-1	1-1	0-0	2	1	2	0	3
Dylan Cardwell	Center	14	1-1	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	1	2
Aden Holloway	G	13	0-5	0-3	0-0	1	0	1	0	0
Chad Baker-Mazara	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.6Possessions68.6

113.7Offensive Efficiency110.8

110.8Defensive Efficiency113.7

2.9Net Efficiency-2.9

54.8%Effective FG%57.5%

58.4%True Shooting %59.9%

16.0%Turnover Rate20.5%

59.6%Free Throw Rate41.5%

38.5%3-Point Rate37.7%

0.91Assist / Turnover0.79

Game Summary

Yale won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 68.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.