Vermont

22-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

2.4%Vermont

97.6%Duke

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADDuke -24.4

PROJECTED TOTAL144.0

MODEL MONEYLINEDuke -4067

Duke

35-3

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreVermont 60

Projected Total144.0

Projected ScoreDuke 84

Team Comparison

VermontMetricDuke

53.1MMH Power Index81.7

112.2Offensive Efficiency122.2

104.7Defensive Efficiency95.2

7.5Net Efficiency27.0

-4.4Strength of Schedule7.8

12.4Last 10 Net Efficiency18.7

65.4Tempo66.8

54.1%Effective FG%56.9%

14.4%Turnover Rate15.9%

26.8%Offensive Rebound %38.2%

32.4%Free Throw Rate39.0%

4.9Average Margin18.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Duke HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY97.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMDuke holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (81.7–53.1), offensive efficiency (122.2–112.2), defensive efficiency (95.2–104.7), net efficiency (27.0–7.5).

Vermont COUNTERS WITHball security (14.4–15.9).

Final

Vermont

47—64

Duke

Duke by 17 • 59.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

VermontTEAM STATDuke

20-52FG19-45

38.5%FG%42.2%

5-203PT6-18

25.0%3PT%33.3%

2-6FT20-29

33.3%FT%69.0%

26Rebounds38

6Offensive Rebounds9

12Assists11

12Turnovers9

8Steals9

3Blocks5

19Fouls13

Player Box Score

Vermont

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Shamir Bogues	Guard	36	8-14	1-4	1-4	5	3	2	0	18
Aaron Deloney	Guard	26	6-13	2-6	0-0	3	2	1	0	14
Ileri Ayo-Faleye	Forward	22	2-7	1-2	0-0	1	1	1	1	5
TJ Long	G	36	1-8	0-4	1-2	4	3	1	0	3
TJ Hurley	G	18	1-2	1-1	0-0	1	1	1	0	3
Sam Alamutu	G	22	1-2	0-0	0-0	7	1	1	1	2
Seth Joba	F	7	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	1	2
Nick Fiorillo	Forward	25	0-2	0-1	0-0	1	1	0	0	0
Matt Veretto	Forward	3	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Jace Roquemore	Guard	2	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Jackson Skipper	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Michel Ndayishimiye	Guard	1	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Brenton Mills	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Duke

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Mark Mitchell	G	35	6-9	0-0	3-6	5	0	1	1	15
Jared McCain	Guard	34	4-9	2-6	5-6	6	3	1	0	15
Jeremy Roach	Guard	39	3-10	1-2	7-9	5	4	1	1	14
Tyrese Proctor	Guard	36	5-14	3-9	0-0	4	0	0	0	13
Kyle Filipowski	Forward	37	0-1	0-0	3-4	12	4	2	3	3
Jaylen Blakes	Guard	9	1-2	0-1	0-0	1	0	3	0	2
Sean Stewart	F	6	0-0	0-0	1-2	1	0	0	0	1
Ryan Young	Center	2	0-0	0-0	1-2	1	0	1	0	1
TJ Power	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Spencer Hubbard	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

59.9Possessions59.9

78.5Offensive Efficiency106.8

106.8Defensive Efficiency78.5

-28.4Net Efficiency28.4

43.3%Effective FG%48.9%

42.8%True Shooting %54.4%

19.7%Turnover Rate15.3%

11.5%Free Throw Rate64.4%

38.5%3-Point Rate40.0%

1.00Assist / Turnover1.22

Game Summary

Duke won by 17 points. The game played at approximately 59.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.