Grand Canyon

20-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

15.1%Grand Canyon

84.9%Saint Mary's

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSaint Mary's -11.7

PROJECTED TOTAL143.5

MODEL MONEYLINESaint Mary's -562

Saint Mary's

27-6

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreGrand Canyon 66

Projected Total143.5

Projected ScoreSaint Mary's 78

Team Comparison

Grand CanyonMetricSaint Mary's

59.8MMH Power Index70.7

109.2Offensive Efficiency116.7

99.1Defensive Efficiency97.4

10.1Net Efficiency19.3

2.0Strength of Schedule3.0

9.7Last 10 Net Efficiency18.6

69.3Tempo66.3

52.1%Effective FG%53.1%

17.6%Turnover Rate16.6%

31.2%Offensive Rebound %37.4%

41.0%Free Throw Rate36.8%

7.0Average Margin12.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Saint Mary's HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY84.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSaint Mary's holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (70.7–59.8), offensive efficiency (116.7–109.2), defensive efficiency (97.4–99.1), net efficiency (19.3–10.1).

Grand Canyon COUNTERS WITHfree throw rate (41.0–36.8).

Final

Grand Canyon

75—66

Saint Mary's

Grand Canyon by 9 • 71.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Grand CanyonTEAM STATSaint Mary's

21-49FG26-67

42.9%FG%38.8%

5-183PT7-25

27.8%3PT%28.0%

28-36FT7-12

77.8%FT%58.3%

34Rebounds40

6Offensive Rebounds14

10Assists16

11Turnovers13

8Steals7

9Blocks1

13Fouls21

Player Box Score

Grand Canyon

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tyon Grant-Foster	G	39	6-13	2-5	8-14	7	1	2	2	22
Ray Harrison	Guard	34	5-13	0-2	7-8	3	6	1	0	17
Gabe McGlothan	Forward	36	3-8	0-1	6-6	11	0	3	3	12
Collin Moore	Guard	26	3-5	2-4	2-2	4	2	1	0	10
Lok Wur	Forward	25	2-6	1-5	1-2	2	0	1	4	6
Jovan Blacksher Jr.	Guard	21	1-2	0-1	2-2	0	0	0	0	4
Duke Brennan	F	19	1-2	0-0	2-2	2	1	0	0	4
Derrick Michael Xzavierro	F	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Saint Mary's

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Mitchell Saxen	Center	33	6-13	0-1	2-4	11	3	1	0	14
Aidan Mahaney	G	40	5-21	3-13	0-0	3	3	0	0	13
Mason Forbes	Forward	30	5-9	0-0	1-2	6	1	2	0	11
Luke Barrett	Forward	22	4-7	2-3	1-2	6	1	1	0	11
Augustas Marciulionis	Guard	30	3-9	1-3	3-4	5	8	1	1	10
Jordan Ross	G	10	2-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	0	4
Alex Ducas	Guard	34	1-5	1-4	0-0	3	0	1	0	3
Harry Wessels	C	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Kevin Gad	F	0	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

71.4Possessions71.4

105.0Offensive Efficiency92.4

92.4Defensive Efficiency105.0

12.6Net Efficiency-12.6

48.0%Effective FG%44.0%

56.7%True Shooting %45.4%

15.5%Turnover Rate18.1%

73.5%Free Throw Rate17.9%

36.7%3-Point Rate37.3%

0.91Assist / Turnover1.23

Game Summary

Grand Canyon won by 9 points. The game played at approximately 71.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.