TCU

23-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

23.5%TCU

76.5%Utah State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUtah State -8.9

PROJECTED TOTAL153.5

MODEL MONEYLINEUtah State -326

Utah State

29-7

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreTCU 72

Projected Total153.5

Projected ScoreUtah State 81

Team Comparison

TCUMetricUtah State

59.7MMH Power Index65.7

110.2Offensive Efficiency119.7

102.7Defensive Efficiency103.1

7.5Net Efficiency16.6

4.6Strength of Schedule3.5

2.2Last 10 Net Efficiency0.3

70.2Tempo68.6

50.5%Effective FG%56.9%

15.3%Turnover Rate15.1%

33.6%Offensive Rebound %33.0%

38.3%Free Throw Rate39.1%

5.3Average Margin11.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Utah State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY76.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUtah State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (65.7–59.7), offensive efficiency (119.7–110.2), net efficiency (16.6–7.5), shooting efficiency (56.9–50.5).

TCU COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (102.7–103.1), strength of schedule (4.6–3.5), recent form (2.2–0.3).

Final

TCU

72—88

Utah State

Utah State by 16 • 70.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

TCUTEAM STATUtah State

24-67FG33-60

35.8%FG%55.0%

7-223PT8-19

31.8%3PT%42.1%

17-22FT14-15

77.3%FT%93.3%

41Rebounds30

21Offensive Rebounds5

13Assists22

14Turnovers9

6Steals10

4Blocks9

13Fouls13

Player Box Score

TCU

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
JaKobe Coles	Forward	22	6-15	3-4	4-4	4	0	0	0	19
Emanuel Miller	Forward	38	5-11	2-5	1-2	11	0	1	0	13
Avery Anderson III	Guard	18	2-7	0-3	5-6	2	3	1	0	9
Jameer Nelson Jr.	Guard	27	2-7	1-4	3-4	2	4	3	1	8
Micah Peavy	Not Available	29	3-11	1-3	0-0	7	1	1	0	7
Ernest Udeh Jr.	C	20	2-2	0-0	1-2	2	0	0	0	5
Xavier Cork	Forward	11	1-2	0-0	3-4	2	0	0	1	5
Chuck O'Bannon Jr.	Forward	18	2-9	0-3	0-0	4	2	0	2	4
Trevian Tennyson	Guard	14	1-3	0-0	0-0	0	3	0	0	2
Essam Mostafa	Forward	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Utah State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ian Martinez	Guard	36	5-9	3-7	8-8	4	4	1	1	21
Isaac Johnson	C	29	6-10	2-4	5-5	3	1	0	4	19
Great Osobor	Forward	31	6-10	0-1	1-2	7	4	2	0	13
Darius Brown II	Guard	40	4-9	2-5	0-0	4	10	2	0	10
Mason Falslev	G	23	4-8	0-0	0-0	5	2	3	1	8
Josh Uduje	Guard	21	4-8	0-1	0-0	1	1	2	2	8
Kalifa Sakho	F	14	3-4	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	1	6
Javon Jackson	G	5	1-2	1-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Landon Brenchley	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

70.8Possessions70.8

101.7Offensive Efficiency124.3

124.3Defensive Efficiency101.7

-22.6Net Efficiency22.6

41.0%Effective FG%61.7%

46.5%True Shooting %65.5%

19.9%Turnover Rate12.7%

32.8%Free Throw Rate25.0%

32.8%3-Point Rate31.7%

0.93Assist / Turnover2.44

Game Summary

Utah State won by 16 points. The game played at approximately 70.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.