Michigan State

27-8

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

50.1%Michigan State

49.9%North Carolina

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNorth Carolina -0.8

PROJECTED TOTAL151.0

MODEL MONEYLINEMichigan State -100

North Carolina

24-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMichigan State 75

Projected Total151.0

Projected ScoreNorth Carolina 76

Team Comparison

Michigan StateMetricNorth Carolina

69.8MMH Power Index65.2

117.0Offensive Efficiency115.5

101.5Defensive Efficiency103.8

15.5Net Efficiency11.7

7.2Strength of Schedule7.6

9.5Last 10 Net Efficiency-1.8

67.3Tempo69.0

54.1%Effective FG%54.6%

17.2%Turnover Rate13.9%

37.7%Offensive Rebound %31.1%

36.6%Free Throw Rate38.1%

10.5Average Margin8.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Michigan State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY50.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMichigan State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (69.8–65.2), offensive efficiency (117.0–115.5), defensive efficiency (101.5–103.8), net efficiency (15.5–11.7).

North Carolina COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (7.6–7.2), shooting efficiency (54.6–54.1), ball security (13.9–17.2).

Final

Michigan State

69—85

North Carolina

North Carolina by 16 • 71.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Michigan StateTEAM STATNorth Carolina

26-59FG28-60

44.1%FG%46.7%

6-163PT10-26

37.5%3PT%38.5%

11-15FT19-23

73.3%FT%82.6%

37Rebounds32

6Offensive Rebounds5

6Assists12

11Turnovers5

3Steals5

1Blocks6

20Fouls14

Player Box Score

Michigan State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tyson Walker	Guard	36	9-16	2-6	4-6	2	0	2	0	24
Malik Hall	Forward	34	6-10	0-3	5-6	9	0	0	1	17
Jaden Akins	Guard	32	4-12	2-4	1-1	4	1	0	0	11
Xavier Booker	C	14	2-2	1-1	0-0	5	0	0	0	5
Mady Sissoko	Center	8	2-3	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	4
AJ Hoggard	Guard	29	1-10	1-2	0-0	3	4	0	0	3
Tre Holloman	G	14	1-2	0-0	0-0	2	0	1	0	2
Jaxon Kohler	F	8	1-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Coen Carr	F	7	0-0	0-0	1-2	0	1	0	0	1
Carson Cooper	C	15	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Nick Sanders	G	1	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Davis Smith	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Steven Izzo	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

North Carolina

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
RJ Davis	Guard	34	7-15	3-7	3-4	1	1	1	0	20
Armando Bacot	Forward	32	5-10	0-0	8-10	7	3	0	2	18
Harrison Ingram	Forward	35	6-11	5-7	0-0	7	0	1	0	17
Cormac Ryan	Guard	30	3-9	2-5	6-6	3	0	0	1	14
Elliot Cadeau	G	22	2-6	0-4	2-3	0	4	0	1	6
Jae'Lyn Withers	Forward	14	2-4	0-1	0-0	4	1	2	0	4
Jalen Washington	F	7	2-2	0-0	0-0	3	1	0	0	4
Seth Trimble	G	17	1-2	0-1	0-0	1	0	1	2	2
Paxson Wojcik	Guard	4	0-1	0-1	0-0	2	2	0	0	0
James Okonkwo	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Zayden High	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Duwe Farris	Forward	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Rob Landry	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Creighton Lebo	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

71.0Possessions71.0

97.2Offensive Efficiency119.7

119.7Defensive Efficiency97.2

-22.5Net Efficiency22.5

49.2%Effective FG%55.0%

52.2%True Shooting %59.9%

15.5%Turnover Rate7.0%

25.4%Free Throw Rate38.3%

27.1%3-Point Rate43.3%

0.55Assist / Turnover2.40

Game Summary

North Carolina won by 16 points. The game played at approximately 71.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.