Dayton

25-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

6.1%Dayton

93.9%Arizona

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADArizona -19.0

PROJECTED TOTAL151.3

MODEL MONEYLINEArizona -1539

Arizona

36-3

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreDayton 66

Projected Total151.3

Projected ScoreArizona 85

Team Comparison

DaytonMetricArizona

59.9MMH Power Index79.9

108.5Offensive Efficiency120.3

101.5Defensive Efficiency96.9

7.0Net Efficiency23.4

5.7Strength of Schedule8.0

6.4Last 10 Net Efficiency17.0

68.3Tempo71.6

52.0%Effective FG%55.0%

16.9%Turnover Rate15.1%

26.7%Offensive Rebound %37.8%

47.6%Free Throw Rate45.3%

4.8Average Margin16.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Arizona HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY93.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMArizona holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (79.9–59.9), offensive efficiency (120.3–108.5), defensive efficiency (96.9–101.5), net efficiency (23.4–7.0).

Dayton COUNTERS WITHfree throw rate (47.6–45.3).

Final

Dayton

68—78

Arizona

Arizona by 10 • 71.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

DaytonTEAM STATArizona

24-59FG28-53

40.7%FG%52.8%

7-243PT8-18

29.2%3PT%44.4%

13-15FT14-20

86.7%FT%70.0%

31Rebounds35

8Offensive Rebounds6

9Assists17

14Turnovers15

8Steals9

3Blocks6

17Fouls18

Player Box Score

Dayton

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
DaRon Holmes II	Center	38	8-17	2-4	5-7	11	3	3	1	23
Koby Brea	Guard	39	5-9	4-8	0-0	4	2	2	1	14
Kobe Elvis	Guard	29	6-14	1-4	0-0	2	1	0	0	13
Enoch Cheeks	Guard	28	4-9	0-2	2-2	2	1	0	0	10
Nate Santos	Forward	34	1-4	0-2	4-4	3	1	0	1	6
Javon Bennett	G	22	0-5	0-3	2-2	0	1	2	0	2
Petras Padegimas	F	6	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	1	0	0
Isaac Jack	F	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Arizona

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Caleb Love	Guard	35	6-15	3-8	4-6	3	5	1	1	19
Pelle Larsson	Guard	37	5-9	2-4	1-3	7	6	1	0	13
Keshad Johnson	Forward	35	6-10	1-2	0-0	7	0	2	0	13
Jaden Bradley	G	27	3-7	1-1	5-6	4	2	3	3	12
Oumar Ballo	Center	22	4-5	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	8
KJ Lewis	G	17	2-2	1-1	2-3	3	2	1	2	7
Motiejus Krivas	C	9	2-2	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	0	4
Kylan Boswell	G	18	0-3	0-2	2-2	0	2	1	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

71.8Possessions71.8

94.7Offensive Efficiency108.6

108.6Defensive Efficiency94.7

-13.9Net Efficiency13.9

46.6%Effective FG%60.4%

51.4%True Shooting %62.4%

19.4%Turnover Rate21.0%

25.4%Free Throw Rate37.7%

40.7%3-Point Rate34.0%

0.64Assist / Turnover1.13

Game Summary

Arizona won by 10 points. The game played at approximately 71.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.