Oakland

16-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

20.7%Oakland

79.3%NC State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNC State -10.5

PROJECTED TOTAL166.8

MODEL MONEYLINENC State -383

NC State

20-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreOakland 78

Projected Total166.8

Projected ScoreNC State 89

Team Comparison

OaklandMetricNC State

52.6MMH Power Index60.1

115.7Offensive Efficiency118.4

114.5Defensive Efficiency108.6

1.2Net Efficiency9.8

2.1Strength of Schedule6.4

-1.4Last 10 Net Efficiency-11.9

71.4Tempo70.2

53.3%Effective FG%55.1%

14.7%Turnover Rate13.1%

31.3%Offensive Rebound %28.2%

38.5%Free Throw Rate35.7%

0.9Average Margin6.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

NC State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY79.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNC State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (60.1–52.6), offensive efficiency (118.4–115.7), defensive efficiency (108.6–114.5), net efficiency (9.8–1.2).

Oakland COUNTERS WITHrecent form (-1.4–-11.9), offensive rebounding (31.3–28.2), free throw rate (38.5–35.7).

Final

Oakland

73—79

NC State

NC State by 6 • 69.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

OaklandTEAM STATNC State

25-68FG29-64

37.0%FG%45.0%

12-353PT9-26

34.0%3PT%35.0%

11-15FT12-16

73.0%FT%75.0%

34Rebounds46

11Offensive Rebounds12

13Assists19

7Turnovers8

4Steals4

3Blocks5

13Fouls16

Player Box Score

Oakland

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Trey Townsend	Forward	45	11-25	2-3	6-8	13	1	1	0	30
Jack Gohlke	Guard	42	6-17	6-17	4-5	8	0	0	0	22
Chris Conway	Forward	41	4-8	1-2	0-0	3	1	0	1	9
Blake Lampman	Guard	32	2-8	2-7	1-2	0	3	0	1	7
DQ Cole	Guard	38	1-6	1-5	0-0	6	3	3	1	3
Rocket Watts	Guard	16	1-4	0-1	0-0	0	4	0	0	2
Tuburu Naivalurua	F	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Tone Hunter	Guard	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Isaiah Jones	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

NC State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
DJ Burns	Forward	42	9-12	0-0	6-7	11	4	0	1	24
Michael O'Connell	Guard	42	4-7	3-5	1-1	2	8	1	0	12
DJ Horne	Guard	37	4-11	1-6	2-2	6	2	1	0	11
Casey Morsell	Guard	37	4-12	2-6	1-2	1	1	0	0	11
Mohamed Diarra	Forward	32	5-9	1-3	0-0	13	2	1	3	11
Jayden Taylor	Guard	22	3-9	2-6	0-0	3	2	1	1	8
Ben Middlebrooks	Forward	13	0-4	0-0	2-4	8	0	0	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

69.4Possessions69.4

105.2Offensive Efficiency113.8

113.8Defensive Efficiency105.2

-8.6Net Efficiency8.6

45.6%Effective FG%52.3%

48.6%True Shooting %55.2%

9.8%Turnover Rate11.8%

22.1%Free Throw Rate25.0%

51.5%3-Point Rate40.6%

1.86Assist / Turnover2.38

Game Summary

NC State won by 6 points. The game played at approximately 69.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.