Northwestern

15-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

10.4%Northwestern

89.6%UConn

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUConn -15.5

PROJECTED TOTAL144.2

MODEL MONEYLINEUConn -862

UConn

34-5

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorthwestern 64

Projected Total144.2

Projected ScoreUConn 80

Team Comparison

NorthwesternMetricUConn

55.4MMH Power Index70.2

111.6Offensive Efficiency116.3

109.8Defensive Efficiency98.4

1.8Net Efficiency17.9

5.6Strength of Schedule6.3

-2.7Last 10 Net Efficiency9.4

65.6Tempo66.2

51.9%Effective FG%55.0%

13.0%Turnover Rate16.4%

28.2%Offensive Rebound %35.4%

34.8%Free Throw Rate30.7%

1.2Average Margin11.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UConn HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY89.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUConn holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (70.2–55.4), offensive efficiency (116.3–111.6), defensive efficiency (98.4–109.8), net efficiency (17.9–1.8).

Northwestern COUNTERS WITHball security (13.0–16.4), free throw rate (34.8–30.7).

Final

Northwestern

58—75

UConn

UConn by 17 • 64.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

NorthwesternTEAM STATUConn

22-59FG29-54

37.3%FG%53.7%

4-153PT3-22

26.7%3PT%13.6%

10-10FT14-20

100.0%FT%70.0%

30Rebounds33

8Offensive Rebounds5

8Assists20

8Turnovers7

5Steals6

—Blocks9

17Fouls13

Player Box Score

Northwestern

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Brooks Barnhizer	Guard	36	6-14	1-5	5-5	6	1	1	18
Ryan Langborg	Guard	33	5-7	3-4	0-0	1	0	2	13
Boo Buie	Guard	39	2-15	0-3	5-5	2	4	2	9
Nick Martinelli	F	29	4-9	0-2	0-0	5	0	0	8
Luke Hunger	F	31	3-7	0-1	0-0	7	2	0	6
Blake Preston	Forward	9	2-5	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	4
Justin Mullins	G	13	0-0	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	0
Blake Smith	G	9	0-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0
Jordan Clayton	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0

UConn

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tristen Newton	Guard	35	7-13	0-6	6-7	3	10	2	0	20
Donovan Clingan	Center	27	5-7	0-0	4-4	14	1	1	8	14
Cam Spencer	Guard	33	5-10	1-4	0-0	4	4	3	0	11
Alex Karaban	F	32	4-7	1-4	0-1	5	2	0	0	9
Stephon Castle	Guard	25	3-6	0-2	1-1	2	1	0	0	7
Samson Johnson	Center	12	3-4	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	1	6
Hassan Diarra	Guard	20	1-5	0-4	3-5	2	2	0	0	5
Andre Johnson Jr.	Guard	1	1-1	1-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Jaylin Stewart	F	10	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Youssouf Singar	C	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Jayden Ross	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-2	1	0	0	0	0
Apostolos Roumoglou	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Solo Ball	G	1	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Andrew Hurley	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

64.7Possessions64.7

89.6Offensive Efficiency115.9

115.9Defensive Efficiency89.6

-26.3Net Efficiency26.3

40.7%Effective FG%56.5%

45.5%True Shooting %59.1%

12.5%Turnover Rate10.7%

16.9%Free Throw Rate37.0%

25.4%3-Point Rate40.7%

1.00Assist / Turnover2.86

Game Summary

UConn won by 17 points. The game played at approximately 64.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.