Grand Canyon

20-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

16.9%Grand Canyon

83.1%Alabama

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADAlabama -9.9

PROJECTED TOTAL163.0

MODEL MONEYLINEAlabama -492

Alabama

24-10

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreGrand Canyon 77

Projected Total163.0

Projected ScoreAlabama 86

Team Comparison

Grand CanyonMetricAlabama

59.8MMH Power Index69.5

109.2Offensive Efficiency121.6

99.1Defensive Efficiency111.2

10.1Net Efficiency10.4

2.0Strength of Schedule9.4

9.7Last 10 Net Efficiency9.5

69.3Tempo74.7

52.1%Effective FG%54.9%

17.6%Turnover Rate13.0%

31.2%Offensive Rebound %32.1%

41.0%Free Throw Rate36.9%

7.0Average Margin7.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Alabama HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY83.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMAlabama holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (69.5–59.8), offensive efficiency (121.6–109.2), net efficiency (10.4–10.1), strength of schedule (9.4–2.0).

Grand Canyon COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (99.1–111.2), recent form (9.7–9.5), free throw rate (41.0–36.9).

Final

Grand Canyon

61—72

Alabama

Alabama by 11 • 70.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Grand CanyonTEAM STATAlabama

18-56FG24-65

32.1%FG%36.9%

2-203PT8-31

10.0%3PT%25.8%

23-37FT16-22

62.2%FT%72.7%

41Rebounds50

15Offensive Rebounds20

5Assists13

14Turnovers13

10Steals10

8Blocks9

21Fouls26

Player Box Score

Grand Canyon

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tyon Grant-Foster	G	39	9-22	2-7	9-16	8	0	2	3	29
Gabe McGlothan	Forward	35	2-8	0-2	4-5	6	0	2	0	8
Collin Moore	Guard	28	2-6	0-1	4-5	3	1	2	0	8
Duke Brennan	F	24	3-4	0-0	2-5	8	0	2	0	8
Ray Harrison	Guard	31	1-9	0-7	4-6	3	2	0	0	6
Lok Wur	Forward	20	1-5	0-2	0-0	5	0	0	3	2
Jovan Blacksher Jr.	Guard	22	0-2	0-1	0-0	3	2	2	2	0
Josh Baker	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Alabama

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Mark Sears	Guard	38	8-18	5-11	5-6	12	6	3	0	26
Rylan Griffen	G	30	4-8	2-6	3-4	1	1	2	1	13
Mo Dioubate	F	13	3-6	0-0	3-3	5	0	0	2	9
Aaron Estrada	Guard	37	4-14	0-4	0-0	10	6	4	0	8
Nick Pringle	F	25	2-2	0-0	2-4	9	0	0	2	6
Grant Nelson	Forward	17	0-4	0-1	3-4	1	0	1	2	3
Sam Walters	F	13	1-6	1-5	0-0	2	0	0	1	3
Jarin Stevenson	F	13	1-3	0-2	0-1	4	0	0	0	2
Latrell Wrightsell	G	11	1-4	0-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Mohamed Wague	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	1	0

Advanced Game Stats

70.6Possessions70.6

86.4Offensive Efficiency102.0

102.0Defensive Efficiency86.4

-15.6Net Efficiency15.6

33.9%Effective FG%43.1%

41.5%True Shooting %47.7%

19.3%Turnover Rate19.0%

66.1%Free Throw Rate33.8%

35.7%3-Point Rate47.7%

0.36Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

Alabama won by 11 points. The game played at approximately 70.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.