Alabama

24-10

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

49.2%Alabama

50.8%North Carolina

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNorth Carolina -1.8

PROJECTED TOTAL167.5

MODEL MONEYLINENorth Carolina -103

North Carolina

24-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreAlabama 83

Projected Total167.5

Projected ScoreNorth Carolina 85

Team Comparison

AlabamaMetricNorth Carolina

69.5MMH Power Index65.2

121.6Offensive Efficiency115.5

111.2Defensive Efficiency103.8

10.4Net Efficiency11.7

9.4Strength of Schedule7.6

9.5Last 10 Net Efficiency-1.8

74.7Tempo69.0

54.9%Effective FG%54.6%

13.0%Turnover Rate13.9%

32.1%Offensive Rebound %31.1%

36.9%Free Throw Rate38.1%

7.7Average Margin8.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Alabama HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY50.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMAlabama holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (69.5–65.2), offensive efficiency (121.6–115.5), strength of schedule (9.4–7.6), recent form (9.5–-1.8).

North Carolina COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (103.8–111.2), net efficiency (11.7–10.4), free throw rate (38.1–36.9).

Final

Alabama

89—87

North Carolina

Alabama by 2 • 71.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

AlabamaTEAM STATNorth Carolina

32-67FG30-78

47.8%FG%38.5%

11-263PT12-32

42.3%3PT%37.5%

14-20FT15-17

70.0%FT%88.2%

43Rebounds46

15Offensive Rebounds22

13Assists17

10Turnovers8

4Steals8

7Blocks3

18Fouls18

Player Box Score

Alabama

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Grant Nelson	Forward	36	6-9	2-2	10-13	12	1	1	5	24
Aaron Estrada	Guard	35	9-17	1-4	0-0	4	3	1	1	19
Rylan Griffen	G	29	6-12	5-8	2-4	4	1	0	0	19
Mark Sears	Guard	40	7-14	2-7	2-2	2	2	2	0	18
Sam Walters	F	15	2-5	1-3	0-0	0	1	0	0	5
Nick Pringle	F	19	1-5	0-0	0-0	9	3	0	0	2
Mo Dioubate	F	9	1-3	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Jarin Stevenson	F	15	0-2	0-2	0-1	4	1	0	1	0
Mohamed Wague	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0

North Carolina

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Armando Bacot	Forward	34	8-18	0-0	3-4	12	0	2	1	19
Cormac Ryan	Guard	37	5-10	5-8	2-2	5	1	2	0	17
RJ Davis	Guard	38	4-20	0-9	8-9	3	7	2	1	16
Harrison Ingram	Forward	38	5-12	2-6	0-0	9	5	2	1	12
Elliot Cadeau	G	13	3-9	2-5	0-0	2	1	0	0	8
Seth Trimble	G	11	2-4	2-2	2-2	0	1	0	0	8
Jae'Lyn Withers	Forward	10	2-4	0-1	0-0	4	1	0	0	4
Paxson Wojcik	Guard	15	1-1	1-1	0-0	3	1	0	0	3
Jalen Washington	F	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

71.8Possessions71.8

124.0Offensive Efficiency121.2

121.2Defensive Efficiency124.0

2.8Net Efficiency-2.8

56.0%Effective FG%46.2%

58.2%True Shooting %50.5%

14.0%Turnover Rate11.1%

29.9%Free Throw Rate21.8%

38.8%3-Point Rate41.0%

1.30Assist / Turnover2.13

Game Summary

Alabama won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 71.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Effective FG%, Free Throw Rate, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.