Gonzaga

31-4

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

46.2%Gonzaga

53.8%Purdue

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADGonzaga -0.1

PROJECTED TOTAL153.9

MODEL MONEYLINEPurdue -116

Purdue

30-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreGonzaga 77

Projected Total153.9

Projected ScorePurdue 77

Team Comparison

GonzagaMetricPurdue

76.4MMH Power Index73.2

119.7Offensive Efficiency124.8

94.0Defensive Efficiency107.8

25.7Net Efficiency17.0

3.0Strength of Schedule7.6

18.2Last 10 Net Efficiency11.8

70.4Tempo65.4

55.7%Effective FG%57.8%

13.6%Turnover Rate13.7%

35.0%Offensive Rebound %36.2%

31.5%Free Throw Rate29.1%

18.1Average Margin11.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Gonzaga HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY53.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMGonzaga holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (76.4–73.2), defensive efficiency (94.0–107.8), net efficiency (25.7–17.0), recent form (18.2–11.8).

Purdue COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (124.8–119.7), strength of schedule (7.6–3.0), shooting efficiency (57.8–55.7).

Final

Gonzaga

68—80

Purdue

Purdue by 12 • 59.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

GonzagaTEAM STATPurdue

29-59FG32-56

49.2%FG%57.1%

6-193PT9-20

31.6%3PT%45.0%

4-7FT7-10

57.1%FT%70.0%

25Rebounds32

9Offensive Rebounds11

14Assists24

6Turnovers9

5Steals3

—Blocks—

15Fouls11

Player Box Score

Gonzaga

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Graham Ike	F	31	8-15	2-4	0-0	10	1	0	18
Nolan Hickman	Guard	40	7-13	2-7	0-0	2	3	1	16
Ryan Nembhard	Guard	40	6-14	1-4	1-1	2	7	1	14
Anton Watson	Forward	31	5-11	1-2	3-6	4	0	1	14
Braden Huff	F	9	2-3	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	4
Ben Gregg	Forward	27	1-3	0-2	0-0	4	2	0	2
Dusty Stromer	G	22	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	1	1	0

Purdue

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Zach Edey	Center	38	10-15	0-0	7-10	14	1	0	27
Braden Smith	G	40	6-11	2-4	0-0	8	15	1	14
Lance Jones	Guard	31	5-10	2-6	0-0	1	3	1	12
Fletcher Loyer	G	34	4-7	2-4	0-0	1	2	1	10
Mason Gillis	Forward	27	2-4	2-3	0-0	2	3	0	6
Trey Kaufman-Renn	F	15	3-6	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	6
Camden Heide	F	11	2-2	1-1	0-0	1	0	0	5
Myles Colvin	G	4	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

59.1Possessions59.1

115.1Offensive Efficiency135.4

135.4Defensive Efficiency115.1

-20.3Net Efficiency20.3

54.2%Effective FG%65.2%

54.6%True Shooting %65.8%

10.1%Turnover Rate15.3%

11.9%Free Throw Rate17.9%

32.2%3-Point Rate35.7%

2.33Assist / Turnover2.67

Game Summary

Purdue won by 12 points. The game played at approximately 59.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.