NC State

20-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

58.9%NC State

41.1%Marquette

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNC State -2.5

PROJECTED TOTAL158.5

MODEL MONEYLINENC State -143

Marquette

12-20

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNC State 81

Projected Total158.5

Projected ScoreMarquette 78

Team Comparison

NC StateMetricMarquette

60.1MMH Power Index52.3

118.4Offensive Efficiency106.0

108.6Defensive Efficiency106.9

9.8Net Efficiency-0.9

6.4Strength of Schedule4.2

-11.9Last 10 Net Efficiency3.5

70.2Tempo70.9

55.1%Effective FG%50.5%

13.1%Turnover Rate16.0%

28.2%Offensive Rebound %29.3%

35.7%Free Throw Rate33.8%

6.9Average Margin-0.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

NC State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY58.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNC State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (60.1–52.3), offensive efficiency (118.4–106.0), net efficiency (9.8–-0.9), strength of schedule (6.4–4.2).

Marquette COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (106.9–108.6), recent form (3.5–-11.9), offensive rebounding (29.3–28.2).

Final

NC State

67—58

Marquette

NC State by 9 • 68.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

NC StateTEAM STATMarquette

26-56FG20-60

46.4%FG%33.3%

9-233PT4-31

39.1%3PT%12.9%

6-12FT14-23

50.0%FT%60.9%

42Rebounds35

8Offensive Rebounds10

14Assists8

14Turnovers9

6Steals7

3Blocks6

16Fouls15

Player Box Score

NC State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
DJ Horne	Guard	29	6-15	4-7	3-4	5	1	0	1	19
Casey Morsell	Guard	38	7-12	1-4	0-0	2	0	2	0	15
Mohamed Diarra	Forward	35	4-6	0-2	3-4	15	1	1	1	11
Michael O'Connell	Guard	37	3-10	2-4	0-2	2	2	2	0	8
Jayden Taylor	Guard	21	2-7	2-6	0-2	2	1	1	0	6
DJ Burns	Forward	27	2-4	0-0	0-0	4	7	0	0	4
Ben Middlebrooks	Forward	13	2-2	0-0	0-0	7	2	0	1	4

Marquette

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kam Jones	Guard	32	8-18	3-12	1-1	2	1	0	1	20
Tyler Kolek	Guard	38	6-13	1-5	4-5	10	3	0	1	17
Stevie Mitchell	Guard	30	2-8	0-4	4-5	5	1	2	0	8
Oso Ighodaro	Center	36	2-6	0-0	2-5	10	3	1	1	6
David Joplin	Forward	33	2-10	0-7	0-3	2	0	1	2	4
Chase Ross	G	21	0-3	0-2	2-2	3	0	3	1	2
Ben Gold	F	10	0-2	0-1	1-2	1	0	0	0	1

Advanced Game Stats

68.8Possessions68.8

97.4Offensive Efficiency84.3

84.3Defensive Efficiency97.4

13.1Net Efficiency-13.1

54.5%Effective FG%36.7%

54.3%True Shooting %40.9%

20.7%Turnover Rate12.9%

21.4%Free Throw Rate38.3%

41.1%3-Point Rate51.7%

1.00Assist / Turnover0.89

Game Summary

NC State won by 9 points. The game played at approximately 68.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Effective FG%, Free Throw Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.