Illinois

28-9

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

54.8%Illinois

45.2%UConn

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIllinois -0.1

PROJECTED TOTAL148.2

MODEL MONEYLINEIllinois -121

UConn

34-5

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreIllinois 74

Projected Total148.2

Projected ScoreUConn 74

Team Comparison

IllinoisMetricUConn

76.5MMH Power Index70.2

125.0Offensive Efficiency116.3

103.3Defensive Efficiency98.4

21.7Net Efficiency17.9

6.7Strength of Schedule6.3

12.7Last 10 Net Efficiency9.4

66.5Tempo66.2

54.8%Effective FG%55.0%

13.1%Turnover Rate16.4%

39.3%Offensive Rebound %35.4%

33.8%Free Throw Rate30.7%

14.5Average Margin11.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Illinois HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY54.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIllinois holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (76.5–70.2), offensive efficiency (125.0–116.3), net efficiency (21.7–17.9), strength of schedule (6.7–6.3).

UConn COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (98.4–103.3), shooting efficiency (55.0–54.8).

Final

Illinois

52—77

UConn

UConn by 25 • 68.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

IllinoisTEAM STATUConn

17-67FG31-60

25.4%FG%51.7%

6-233PT3-17

26.1%3PT%17.6%

12-17FT12-17

70.6%FT%70.6%

36Rebounds45

14Offensive Rebounds8

7Assists21

7Turnovers9

3Steals5

4Blocks10

15Fouls17

Player Box Score

Illinois

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Marcus Domask	Forward	35	7-13	2-3	1-2	3	1	2	0	17
Terrence Shannon Jr.	Not Available	36	2-12	0-1	4-6	2	3	0	1	8
Amani Hansberry	F	8	2-4	2-3	2-2	1	0	0	0	8
Quincy Guerrier	Forward	23	3-10	1-4	0-0	4	0	0	0	7
Coleman Hawkins	Guard	32	2-10	1-7	0-0	4	1	0	1	5
Justin Harmon	Guard	10	1-4	0-1	3-3	3	0	1	0	5
Dra Gibbs-Lawhorn	G	9	0-3	0-1	2-2	1	0	0	0	2
Luke Goode	Forward	25	0-3	0-3	0-0	6	2	0	0	0
Dain Dainja	Forward	9	0-3	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	2	0
Ty Rodgers	G	8	0-5	0-0	0-2	3	0	0	0	0
Niccolo Moretti	G	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

UConn

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Donovan Clingan	Center	22	9-13	0-1	4-8	10	1	3	5	22
Cam Spencer	Guard	32	4-9	1-3	2-2	12	5	1	2	11
Hassan Diarra	Guard	25	5-6	1-2	0-0	3	2	0	0	11
Alex Karaban	F	27	4-7	1-4	1-1	3	1	0	1	10
Samson Johnson	Center	17	5-6	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	1	10
Tristen Newton	Guard	31	0-6	0-3	5-6	3	5	0	0	5
Stephon Castle	Guard	23	1-6	0-2	0-0	6	5	0	1	2
Jaylin Stewart	F	11	1-2	0-1	0-0	1	1	0	0	2
Solo Ball	G	4	1-4	0-1	0-0	0	0	1	0	2
Jayden Ross	F	2	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Apostolos Roumoglou	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Andrew Hurley	Guard	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Youssouf Singar	C	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Andre Johnson Jr.	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.6Possessions68.6

75.8Offensive Efficiency112.2

112.2Defensive Efficiency75.8

-36.4Net Efficiency36.4

29.9%Effective FG%54.2%

34.6%True Shooting %56.6%

10.3%Turnover Rate13.0%

25.4%Free Throw Rate28.3%

34.3%3-Point Rate28.3%

1.00Assist / Turnover2.33

Game Summary

UConn won by 25 points. The game played at approximately 68.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.