NC State

20-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

12.3%NC State

87.7%Purdue

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADPurdue -12.2

PROJECTED TOTAL159.2

MODEL MONEYLINEPurdue -713

Purdue

30-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNC State 74

Projected Total159.2

Projected ScorePurdue 86

Team Comparison

NC StateMetricPurdue

60.1MMH Power Index73.2

118.4Offensive Efficiency124.8

108.6Defensive Efficiency107.8

9.8Net Efficiency17.0

6.4Strength of Schedule7.6

-11.9Last 10 Net Efficiency11.8

70.2Tempo65.4

55.1%Effective FG%57.8%

13.1%Turnover Rate13.7%

28.2%Offensive Rebound %36.2%

35.7%Free Throw Rate29.1%

6.9Average Margin11.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Purdue HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY87.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMPurdue holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (73.2–60.1), offensive efficiency (124.8–118.4), defensive efficiency (107.8–108.6), net efficiency (17.0–9.8).

NC State COUNTERS WITHball security (13.1–13.7), free throw rate (35.7–29.1).

Final

NC State

50—63

Purdue

Purdue by 13 • 64.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

NC StateTEAM STATPurdue

21-57FG22-55

36.8%FG%40.0%

5-193PT10-25

26.3%3PT%40.0%

3-4FT9-10

75.0%FT%90.0%

28Rebounds41

6Offensive Rebounds11

10Assists13

11Turnovers16

8Steals5

3Blocks2

13Fouls8

Player Box Score

NC State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
DJ Horne	Guard	39	8-21	2-8	2-2	6	1	1	0	20
Jayden Taylor	Guard	29	4-10	2-5	1-2	2	0	2	0	11
DJ Burns	Forward	27	4-10	0-0	0-0	1	4	0	1	8
Breon Pass	Guard	9	2-4	0-2	0-0	1	0	1	0	4
Michael O'Connell	Guard	12	1-1	1-1	0-0	1	1	0	0	3
Mohamed Diarra	Forward	26	1-4	0-2	0-0	5	0	1	1	2
Ben Middlebrooks	Forward	26	1-2	0-0	0-0	7	3	1	0	2
Casey Morsell	Guard	32	0-5	0-1	0-0	5	1	2	1	0

Purdue

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Zach Edey	Center	40	9-14	0-0	2-2	12	4	0	2	20
Lance Jones	Guard	38	5-12	4-9	0-0	4	0	1	0	14
Fletcher Loyer	G	33	3-9	3-5	2-2	4	2	1	0	11
Mason Gillis	Forward	24	2-5	2-5	2-2	4	0	0	0	8
Trey Kaufman-Renn	F	16	2-5	0-0	3-4	4	1	0	0	7
Braden Smith	G	40	1-9	1-5	0-0	8	6	3	0	3
Camden Heide	F	7	0-1	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Myles Colvin	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

64.4Possessions64.4

77.6Offensive Efficiency97.8

97.8Defensive Efficiency77.6

-20.2Net Efficiency20.2

41.2%Effective FG%49.1%

42.4%True Shooting %52.7%

17.2%Turnover Rate24.7%

7.0%Free Throw Rate18.2%

33.3%3-Point Rate45.5%

0.91Assist / Turnover0.81

Game Summary

Purdue won by 13 points. The game played at approximately 64.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.