Alabama

24-10

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

35.7%Alabama

64.3%UConn

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUConn -5.5

PROJECTED TOTAL161.5

MODEL MONEYLINEUConn -180

UConn

34-5

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreAlabama 78

Projected Total161.5

Projected ScoreUConn 84

Team Comparison

AlabamaMetricUConn

69.5MMH Power Index70.2

121.6Offensive Efficiency116.3

111.2Defensive Efficiency98.4

10.4Net Efficiency17.9

9.4Strength of Schedule6.3

9.5Last 10 Net Efficiency9.4

74.7Tempo66.2

54.9%Effective FG%55.0%

13.0%Turnover Rate16.4%

32.1%Offensive Rebound %35.4%

36.9%Free Throw Rate30.7%

7.7Average Margin11.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UConn HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY64.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUConn holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (70.2–69.5), defensive efficiency (98.4–111.2), net efficiency (17.9–10.4), shooting efficiency (55.0–54.9).

Alabama COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (121.6–116.3), strength of schedule (9.4–6.3), recent form (9.5–9.4).

Final

Alabama

72—86

UConn

UConn by 14 • 62.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

AlabamaTEAM STATUConn

26-58FG31-62

44.8%FG%50.0%

11-233PT10-25

47.8%3PT%40.0%

9-11FT14-18

81.8%FT%77.8%

29Rebounds37

8Offensive Rebounds12

9Assists20

8Turnovers4

2Steals4

5Blocks8

15Fouls17

Player Box Score

Alabama

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Mark Sears	Guard	40	9-14	3-6	3-4	5	3	0	1	24
Grant Nelson	Forward	30	7-16	1-4	4-4	15	0	0	1	19
Aaron Estrada	Guard	37	5-11	3-5	0-0	3	3	1	0	13
Rylan Griffen	G	26	3-8	2-5	0-1	0	0	0	1	8
Latrell Wrightsell	G	31	2-5	2-3	0-0	1	1	1	1	6
Nick Pringle	F	16	0-2	0-0	2-2	0	1	0	0	2
Jarin Stevenson	F	10	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	1	0
Mo Dioubate	F	5	0-2	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0
Sam Walters	F	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

UConn

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Stephon Castle	Guard	30	7-13	2-6	5-6	5	2	1	0	21
Donovan Clingan	Center	29	8-14	0-0	2-2	5	1	0	4	18
Cam Spencer	Guard	36	5-11	3-5	1-2	8	4	2	0	14
Alex Karaban	F	30	4-6	2-4	4-4	8	2	0	2	14
Tristen Newton	Guard	35	4-11	3-9	1-2	3	9	0	0	12
Samson Johnson	Center	10	3-3	0-0	1-2	1	0	0	2	7
Hassan Diarra	Guard	23	0-4	0-1	0-0	5	2	1	0	0
Jaylin Stewart	F	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

62.9Possessions62.9

114.5Offensive Efficiency136.7

136.7Defensive Efficiency114.5

-22.3Net Efficiency22.3

54.3%Effective FG%58.1%

56.9%True Shooting %60.9%

12.7%Turnover Rate6.4%

19.0%Free Throw Rate29.0%

39.7%3-Point Rate40.3%

1.13Assist / Turnover5.00

Game Summary

UConn won by 14 points. The game played at approximately 62.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.