Purdue

30-9

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

45.6%Purdue

54.4%UConn

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUConn -3.0

PROJECTED TOTAL148.5

MODEL MONEYLINEUConn -119

UConn

34-5

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScorePurdue 73

Projected Total148.5

Projected ScoreUConn 76

Team Comparison

PurdueMetricUConn

73.2MMH Power Index70.2

124.8Offensive Efficiency116.3

107.8Defensive Efficiency98.4

17.0Net Efficiency17.9

7.6Strength of Schedule6.3

11.8Last 10 Net Efficiency9.4

65.4Tempo66.2

57.8%Effective FG%55.0%

13.7%Turnover Rate16.4%

36.2%Offensive Rebound %35.4%

29.1%Free Throw Rate30.7%

11.1Average Margin11.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Purdue HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY54.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMPurdue holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (73.2–70.2), offensive efficiency (124.8–116.3), strength of schedule (7.6–6.3), recent form (11.8–9.4).

UConn COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (98.4–107.8), net efficiency (17.9–17.0), free throw rate (30.7–29.1).

Final

Purdue

60—75

UConn

UConn by 15 • 61.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

PurdueTEAM STATUConn

24-54FG30-62

44.4%FG%48.4%

1-73PT6-22

14.3%3PT%27.3%

11-15FT9-11

73.3%FT%81.8%

28Rebounds35

9Offensive Rebounds14

8Assists18

9Turnovers8

3Steals3

3Blocks4

15Fouls18

Player Box Score

Purdue

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Zach Edey	Center	39	15-25	0-0	7-10	10	0	0	2	37
Braden Smith	G	38	4-12	1-2	3-4	3	8	2	0	12
Lance Jones	Guard	23	2-3	0-1	1-1	3	0	0	0	5
Trey Kaufman-Renn	F	15	2-4	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	1	4
Camden Heide	F	15	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Fletcher Loyer	G	30	0-5	0-1	0-0	2	0	1	0	0
Mason Gillis	Forward	24	0-2	0-1	0-0	4	0	0	0	0
Myles Colvin	G	12	0-2	0-2	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Caleb Furst	Forward	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Chase Martin	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Carson Barrett	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Ethan Morton	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

UConn

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tristen Newton	Guard	39	6-13	2-5	6-6	5	7	0	0	20
Stephon Castle	Guard	34	6-13	1-4	2-4	5	3	1	0	15
Cam Spencer	Guard	34	5-12	1-4	0-0	8	2	2	1	11
Donovan Clingan	Center	31	5-8	0-1	1-1	5	1	0	1	11
Hassan Diarra	Guard	13	4-6	1-2	0-0	2	0	0	0	9
Alex Karaban	F	36	2-7	1-6	0-0	6	4	0	2	5
Samson Johnson	Center	5	2-3	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	4
Jaylin Stewart	F	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Jayden Ross	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Apostolos Roumoglou	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Solo Ball	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Andrew Hurley	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

61.2Possessions61.2

98.0Offensive Efficiency122.5

122.5Defensive Efficiency98.0

-24.5Net Efficiency24.5

45.4%Effective FG%53.2%

49.1%True Shooting %55.8%

14.7%Turnover Rate13.1%

27.8%Free Throw Rate17.7%

13.0%3-Point Rate35.5%

0.89Assist / Turnover2.25

Game Summary

UConn won by 15 points. The game played at approximately 61.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.