Providence

15-18

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

27.8%Providence

72.2%Indiana

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIndiana -7.9

PROJECTED TOTAL164.2

MODEL MONEYLINEIndiana -260

Indiana

18-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreProvidence 78

Projected Total164.2

Projected ScoreIndiana 86

Team Comparison

ProvidenceMetricIndiana

54.2MMH Power Index58.2

115.0Offensive Efficiency116.0

113.2Defensive Efficiency107.1

1.8Net Efficiency8.9

4.0Strength of Schedule5.2

-1.3Last 10 Net Efficiency-7.7

74.2Tempo67.4

55.0%Effective FG%56.0%

16.7%Turnover Rate15.1%

31.8%Offensive Rebound %26.7%

37.3%Free Throw Rate35.8%

1.3Average Margin6.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Indiana HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY72.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIndiana holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (58.2–54.2), offensive efficiency (116.0–115.0), defensive efficiency (107.1–113.2), net efficiency (8.9–1.8).

Providence COUNTERS WITHrecent form (-1.3–-7.7), offensive rebounding (31.8–26.7), free throw rate (37.3–35.8).

Final

Providence

73—89

Indiana

Indiana by 16 • 66.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

ProvidenceTEAM STATIndiana

25-64FG32-60

39.0%FG%53.0%

10-303PT8-15

33.0%3PT%53.0%

13-21FT17-20

62.0%FT%85.0%

36Rebounds38

17Offensive Rebounds11

15Assists20

7Turnovers10

5Steals5

4Blocks5

19Fouls18

Player Box Score

Providence

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jayden Pierre	G	34	8-16	5-10	1-2	1	6	0	0	22
Corey Floyd Jr.	G	31	4-7	0-1	6-9	5	1	0	0	14
Jabri Abdur-Rahim	Guard	20	4-10	3-8	3-5	3	2	2	0	14
Christ Essandoko	F	21	2-4	0-1	2-2	5	0	0	0	6
Wesley Cardet Jr.	Guard	25	2-6	1-2	0-1	4	1	1	0	5
Oswin Erhunmwunse	F	19	2-2	0-0	1-2	5	0	1	3	5
Eli DeLaurier	F	13	2-5	1-3	0-0	3	0	0	1	5
Bensley Joseph	Guard	19	1-8	0-2	0-0	3	4	1	0	2
Rich Barron	F	10	0-4	0-3	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Ryan Mela	G	8	0-2	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0

Indiana

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Mackenzie Mgbako	F	34	9-14	4-7	3-3	4	1	2	0	25
Malik Reneau	F	21	8-9	0-0	5-5	2	3	1	0	21
Trey Galloway	Guard	30	7-12	3-4	1-1	5	5	0	1	18
Luke Goode	Forward	25	2-3	1-1	4-4	3	1	0	1	9
Oumar Ballo	Center	32	3-8	0-0	2-5	10	3	1	3	8
Langdon Hatton	Center	8	1-1	0-0	2-2	1	0	0	0	4
Myles Rice	G	28	1-8	0-2	0-0	3	6	1	0	2
Bryson Tucker	F	18	1-5	0-1	0-0	3	0	0	0	2
Gabe Cupps	G	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.3Possessions66.3

110.1Offensive Efficiency134.2

134.2Defensive Efficiency110.1

-24.1Net Efficiency24.1

46.9%Effective FG%60.0%

49.3%True Shooting %64.0%

10.9%Turnover Rate14.6%

32.8%Free Throw Rate33.3%

46.9%3-Point Rate25.0%

2.14Assist / Turnover2.00

Game Summary

Indiana won by 16 points. The game played at approximately 66.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.