Western Michigan

10-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

22.4%Western Michigan

77.6%Texas State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADTexas State -9.3

PROJECTED TOTAL151.3

MODEL MONEYLINETexas State -346

Texas State

19-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreWestern Michigan 71

Projected Total151.3

Projected ScoreTexas State 80

Team Comparison

Western MichiganMetricTexas State

42.8MMH Power Index49.4

106.9Offensive Efficiency107.7

113.6Defensive Efficiency103.4

-6.7Net Efficiency4.3

2.0Strength of Schedule-4.7

-9.7Last 10 Net Efficiency9.1

69.9Tempo68.6

50.3%Effective FG%51.3%

17.3%Turnover Rate18.4%

31.0%Offensive Rebound %34.3%

34.6%Free Throw Rate36.0%

-4.7Average Margin2.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Texas State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY77.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMTexas State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (49.4–42.8), offensive efficiency (107.7–106.9), defensive efficiency (103.4–113.6), net efficiency (4.3–-6.7).

Western Michigan COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (2.0–-4.7), ball security (17.3–18.4).

Final

Western Michigan

61—77

Texas State

Texas State by 16 • 64.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Western MichiganTEAM STATTexas State

24-60FG30-56

40.0%FG%54.0%

8-223PT8-18

36.0%3PT%44.0%

5-6FT9-10

83.0%FT%90.0%

30Rebounds31

11Offensive Rebounds7

9Assists14

13Turnovers10

6Steals7

3Blocks10

10Fouls8

Player Box Score

Western Michigan

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Trey Lewis	G	21	7-15	4-9	1-1	2	0	1	1	19
Jayden Brewer	G	28	6-11	0-0	1-1	7	0	0	1	13
Carson Vis	G	19	4-7	1-2	1-1	3	0	0	0	10
Justice Williams	G	24	3-10	1-4	0-1	1	2	0	0	7
EJ Ryans	G	29	2-7	1-3	0-0	3	3	2	0	5
Jalen Griffith	G	11	2-4	1-2	0-0	0	1	1	0	5
Max Burton	F	26	0-1	0-0	2-2	3	0	0	0	2
Brady Swartz	G	23	0-4	0-2	0-0	3	0	0	0	0
Declan Peterson	C	13	0-0	0-0	0-0	3	2	2	1	0
Sharod Barnes	G	6	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

Texas State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Mark Drone	G	34	9-14	0-3	2-2	1	3	1	0	20
DJ Hall	F	30	5-10	2-2	4-4	5	1	1	1	16
Kaden Gumbs	G	29	6-10	3-6	0-0	2	0	1	0	15
Franck Emmou	G	20	3-6	1-2	0-0	1	1	0	1	7
Jalen Bolden	G	13	3-5	1-1	0-0	1	0	1	0	7
Kyndall Davis	G	30	1-4	1-4	2-2	0	3	2	1	5
Tay Knox	C	17	1-3	0-0	1-2	6	3	0	3	3
Makai Willis	C	14	1-3	0-0	0-0	6	2	0	2	2
Robert Fields	C	13	1-1	0-0	0-0	6	1	1	2	2

Advanced Game Stats

64.4Possessions64.4

94.7Offensive Efficiency119.6

119.6Defensive Efficiency94.7

-24.8Net Efficiency24.8

46.7%Effective FG%60.7%

48.5%True Shooting %63.4%

20.0%Turnover Rate15.7%

10.0%Free Throw Rate17.9%

36.7%3-Point Rate32.1%

0.69Assist / Turnover1.40

Game Summary

Texas State won by 16 points. The game played at approximately 64.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.