Buffalo

17-15

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

33.2%Buffalo

66.8%South Alabama

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSouth Alabama -5.5

PROJECTED TOTAL151.1

MODEL MONEYLINESouth Alabama -201

South Alabama

21-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreBuffalo 73

Projected Total151.1

Projected ScoreSouth Alabama 78

Team Comparison

BuffaloMetricSouth Alabama

49.7MMH Power Index51.4

114.9Offensive Efficiency110.3

112.2Defensive Efficiency103.9

2.7Net Efficiency6.4

0.0Strength of Schedule-3.7

-5.9Last 10 Net Efficiency3.4

67.9Tempo67.4

56.1%Effective FG%53.2%

16.1%Turnover Rate12.8%

27.6%Offensive Rebound %24.9%

40.4%Free Throw Rate39.8%

1.8Average Margin4.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

South Alabama HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY66.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSouth Alabama holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (51.4–49.7), defensive efficiency (103.9–112.2), net efficiency (6.4–2.7), recent form (3.4–-5.9).

Buffalo COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (114.9–110.3), strength of schedule (0.0–-3.7), shooting efficiency (56.1–53.2).

Final

Buffalo

69—81

South Alabama

South Alabama by 12 • 69.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

BuffaloTEAM STATSouth Alabama

24-63FG28-53

38.0%FG%53.0%

17-463PT10-21

37.0%3PT%48.0%

4-6FT15-24

67.0%FT%63.0%

34Rebounds36

10Offensive Rebounds5

17Assists14

14Turnovers10

8Steals9

3Blocks1

16Fouls9

Player Box Score

Buffalo

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Angelo Brizzi	G	35	9-21	8-17	0-1	3	1	2	1	26
Ryan Sabol	G	37	8-21	6-18	1-1	8	3	2	0	23
Noah Batchelor	G	33	4-5	2-3	0-0	6	3	1	0	10
Derrick Talton Jr.	G	34	2-7	1-3	0-0	4	10	2	0	5
Ezra McKenna	F	23	1-5	0-3	2-2	6	0	0	0	4
Kyle Jones	G	13	0-1	0-0	1-2	2	0	1	1	1
Tim Oboh	C	15	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	1	0
Matas Buteliauskas	F	10	0-2	0-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

South Alabama

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Adam Olsen	F	36	6-11	4-7	7-9	2	1	3	0	23
Jayden Cooper	G	33	5-10	3-6	3-5	4	3	2	0	16
Chaze Harris	G	25	6-10	0-1	2-3	3	4	1	0	14
Randy Brady	F	31	4-8	3-5	1-2	5	1	1	0	12
JJ Wheat	G	18	5-8	0-0	0-1	0	4	0	0	10
Hantz Louis-Jeune	G	26	0-3	0-1	2-2	5	1	1	0	2
John Broom	G	18	1-1	0-0	0-0	7	0	0	0	2
Stephen Williams	F	9	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	1	2
Brian Hawthorne	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-2	0	0	1	0	0
Maxwell Land	G	1	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

69.7Possessions69.7

99.0Offensive Efficiency116.2

116.2Defensive Efficiency99.0

-17.2Net Efficiency17.2

51.6%Effective FG%62.3%

52.4%True Shooting %62.9%

20.0%Turnover Rate14.4%

9.5%Free Throw Rate45.3%

73.0%3-Point Rate39.6%

1.21Assist / Turnover1.40

Game Summary

South Alabama won by 12 points. The game played at approximately 69.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.