Ball State

12-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

65.7%Ball State

34.3%UL Monroe

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADBall State -4.3

PROJECTED TOTAL147.8

MODEL MONEYLINEBall State -192

UL Monroe

4-28

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreBall State 76

Projected Total147.8

Projected ScoreUL Monroe 72

Team Comparison

Ball StateMetricUL Monroe

41.3MMH Power Index30.9

101.7Offensive Efficiency101.1

104.7Defensive Efficiency117.1

-3.0Net Efficiency-16.0

-3.9Strength of Schedule-1.0

-0.9Last 10 Net Efficiency-16.2

66.4Tempo71.7

48.3%Effective FG%48.1%

16.0%Turnover Rate16.9%

26.5%Offensive Rebound %25.3%

33.0%Free Throw Rate40.6%

-2.0Average Margin-11.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Ball State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY65.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMBall State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (41.3–30.9), offensive efficiency (101.7–101.1), defensive efficiency (104.7–117.1), net efficiency (-3.0–-16.0).

UL Monroe COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-1.0–-3.9), free throw rate (40.6–33.0).

Final

Ball State

73—68

UL Monroe

Ball State by 5 • 69.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Ball StateTEAM STATUL Monroe

27-62FG18-48

44.0%FG%38.0%

5-163PT2-18

31.0%3PT%11.0%

14-18FT30-36

78.0%FT%83.0%

37Rebounds33

14Offensive Rebounds9

10Assists7

14Turnovers12

9Steals10

1Blocks6

20Fouls16

Player Box Score

Ball State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kayden Fish	F	31	6-10	0-2	5-6	6	1	1	0	17
Davion Hill	G	31	6-15	0-2	2-3	3	4	3	0	14
Elmore James IV	G	34	6-8	1-3	0-0	1	1	2	0	13
Armoni Zeigler	G	32	4-11	1-2	2-3	6	2	1	1	11
Juwan Maxey	G	15	2-5	2-4	1-2	1	0	0	0	7
Devon Barnes	G	14	1-6	0-2	4-4	6	0	1	0	6
Mason Jones	F	28	1-3	1-1	0-0	10	1	1	0	3
Preston Copeland	F	10	1-4	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Cam Denson	F	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0

UL Monroe

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Krystian Lewis	G	37	5-11	0-3	16-17	4	3	1	0	26
Lavell Brodnex	G	37	6-14	0-5	5-7	13	1	1	1	17
MJ Russell	G	33	4-13	1-6	3-4	5	0	1	1	12
Ayomide Bamisile	F	35	1-3	0-0	5-6	7	0	3	3	7
Dylan Diaz	G	16	2-6	1-4	0-0	1	0	1	0	5
Przemek Hartman	F	3	0-0	0-0	1-2	0	0	0	0	1
Alex Molofeev	G	26	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	3	2	1	0
Wiggy Ball	G	8	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Micah Caster	G	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

69.4Possessions69.4

105.2Offensive Efficiency98.0

98.0Defensive Efficiency105.2

7.2Net Efficiency-7.2

47.6%Effective FG%39.6%

51.7%True Shooting %52.2%

19.8%Turnover Rate17.6%

29.0%Free Throw Rate75.0%

25.8%3-Point Rate37.5%

0.71Assist / Turnover0.58

Game Summary

Ball State won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 69.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.