Toledo

19-15

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

55.4%Toledo

44.6%James Madison

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADToledo -0.5

PROJECTED TOTAL155.6

MODEL MONEYLINEToledo -124

James Madison

18-15

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreToledo 78

Projected Total155.6

Projected ScoreJames Madison 78

Team Comparison

ToledoMetricJames Madison

58.8MMH Power Index52.3

116.0Offensive Efficiency110.5

109.6Defensive Efficiency109.4

6.4Net Efficiency1.1

2.3Strength of Schedule1.2

10.2Last 10 Net Efficiency7.9

69.8Tempo67.5

55.1%Effective FG%53.3%

14.6%Turnover Rate17.3%

30.4%Offensive Rebound %30.5%

30.3%Free Throw Rate36.6%

4.5Average Margin0.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Toledo HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY55.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMToledo holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (58.8–52.3), offensive efficiency (116.0–110.5), net efficiency (6.4–1.1), strength of schedule (2.3–1.2).

James Madison COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (109.4–109.6), offensive rebounding (30.5–30.4), free throw rate (36.6–30.3).

Final

Toledo

71—73

James Madison

James Madison by 2 • 66.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

ToledoTEAM STATJames Madison

28-57FG25-57

49.0%FG%44.0%

5-173PT8-27

29.0%3PT%30.0%

10-15FT15-17

67.0%FT%88.0%

27Rebounds38

6Offensive Rebounds12

14Assists14

8Turnovers14

8Steals5

2Blocks6

15Fouls17

Player Box Score

Toledo

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Leroy Blyden Jr.	G	37	8-19	3-7	5-5	3	5	2	0	24
Sonny Wilson	G	39	8-14	1-3	3-3	1	4	2	0	20
Austin Parks	C	24	5-5	0-0	1-2	4	3	1	1	11
Jaylan Ouwinga	F	27	2-4	0-0	0-2	4	1	1	1	4
Mynor Strong	G	24	2-5	0-2	0-0	0	0	1	0	4
Sean Craig	F	27	1-3	0-1	1-3	5	1	1	0	3
Kyler Vanderjagt	G	13	1-4	1-3	0-0	2	0	0	0	3
Will James Jr.	G	7	1-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
London Praytor	F	2	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

James Madison

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Cliff Davis	G	33	5-12	2-7	6-6	2	1	1	0	18
Bradley Douglas	G	28	6-10	4-6	0-1	1	3	1	0	16
Justin McBride	F	18	3-9	0-3	2-2	5	2	0	0	8
Gabe Newhof	F	14	4-6	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	1	8
Eddie Ricks III	F	18	2-2	0-0	3-3	3	2	2	1	7
Kose Egbule	G	25	2-7	1-5	1-1	4	3	0	1	6
Preston Fowler	F	25	1-6	0-5	2-2	9	2	0	1	4
Paul Jones III	G	7	1-1	1-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	3
Christian Brown	F	16	1-3	0-0	0-0	3	0	1	2	2
Eli Wilborn	F	11	0-1	0-0	1-2	2	0	0	0	1
Justin Taylor	G	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.6Possessions66.6

106.6Offensive Efficiency109.6

109.6Defensive Efficiency106.6

-3.0Net Efficiency3.0

53.5%Effective FG%50.9%

55.4%True Shooting %56.1%

12.1%Turnover Rate20.9%

26.3%Free Throw Rate29.8%

29.8%3-Point Rate47.4%

1.75Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

James Madison won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 66.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Turnover Rate, Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.