Northern Illinois

9-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

16.9%Northern Illinois

83.1%Georgia State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADGeorgia State -10.4

PROJECTED TOTAL147.3

MODEL MONEYLINEGeorgia State -492

Georgia State

10-22

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorthern Illinois 68

Projected Total147.3

Projected ScoreGeorgia State 79

Team Comparison

Northern IllinoisMetricGeorgia State

29.2MMH Power Index38.9

99.7Offensive Efficiency101.3

111.6Defensive Efficiency107.5

-11.9Net Efficiency-6.2

-2.1Strength of Schedule-1.7

-28.8Last 10 Net Efficiency-10.9

69.7Tempo69.5

48.5%Effective FG%45.3%

21.3%Turnover Rate15.6%

31.7%Offensive Rebound %28.2%

39.6%Free Throw Rate37.4%

-8.3Average Margin-4.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Georgia State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY83.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMGeorgia State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (38.9–29.2), offensive efficiency (101.3–99.7), defensive efficiency (107.5–111.6), net efficiency (-6.2–-11.9).

Northern Illinois COUNTERS WITHshooting efficiency (48.5–45.3), offensive rebounding (31.7–28.2), free throw rate (39.6–37.4).

Final

Northern Illinois

75—74

Georgia State

Northern Illinois by 1 • 71.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Northern IllinoisTEAM STATGeorgia State

24-54FG23-57

44.0%FG%40.0%

11-233PT4-20

48.0%3PT%20.0%

16-22FT24-33

73.0%FT%73.0%

33Rebounds37

6Offensive Rebounds10

15Assists14

13Turnovers9

5Steals5

1Blocks5

23Fouls19

Player Box Score

Northern Illinois

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Makhai Valentine	G	32	7-9	5-6	4-4	6	1	1	0	23
Dylan Ducommun	G	32	5-11	3-7	0-0	2	8	1	0	13
Taj Walters	G	32	3-10	1-4	5-5	8	1	0	0	12
Gianni Cobb	G	26	3-9	2-3	0-1	4	3	1	0	8
Gustav Winther	F	17	3-4	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	1	6
Carlos Coronado	G	14	0-1	0-1	5-6	0	1	0	0	5
Hassan Washington	F	21	2-3	0-0	0-2	6	1	0	0	4
Daemar Kelly	G	8	1-4	0-2	2-2	3	0	1	0	4
Isaiah Washington	G	8	0-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Ladji Kante	F	5	0-1	0-0	0-2	0	0	1	0	0
Isaiah Stewart	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Jaylen Wharton	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Georgia State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Micah Tucker	G	31	4-11	0-3	8-12	2	5	1	0	16
Jelani Hamilton	G	29	6-13	1-3	3-4	3	2	1	1	16
Malachi Brown	G	23	3-7	1-4	4-5	4	3	0	0	11
Christian Beam	C	21	3-6	0-0	4-6	13	1	0	1	10
Anthony Enoh	F	19	3-6	1-3	0-0	4	0	2	0	7
Ayouba Berthe	G	19	1-5	1-4	3-4	3	0	0	0	6
Joah Chappelle	F	27	2-5	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	2	4
Jakai Newton	G	18	0-2	0-1	2-2	0	3	1	0	2
Trey Scott III	F	13	1-2	0-1	0-0	4	0	0	1	2

Advanced Game Stats

71.6Possessions71.6

104.7Offensive Efficiency103.4

103.4Defensive Efficiency104.7

1.4Net Efficiency-1.4

54.6%Effective FG%43.9%

58.2%True Shooting %50.9%

18.2%Turnover Rate12.6%

40.7%Free Throw Rate57.9%

42.6%3-Point Rate35.1%

1.15Assist / Turnover1.56

Game Summary

Northern Illinois won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 71.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Effective FG%, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.