Chicago State

7-25

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

2.5%Chicago State

97.5%Wisconsin

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADWisconsin -24.9

PROJECTED TOTAL152.4

MODEL MONEYLINEWisconsin -3900

Wisconsin

24-11

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreChicago State 64

Projected Total152.4

Projected ScoreWisconsin 89

Team Comparison

Chicago StateMetricWisconsin

36.1MMH Power Index64.5

99.4Offensive Efficiency118.6

114.9Defensive Efficiency108.8

-15.5Net Efficiency9.8

0.5Strength of Schedule6.7

-4.3Last 10 Net Efficiency5.6

66.2Tempo69.9

45.6%Effective FG%54.6%

15.8%Turnover Rate12.8%

29.1%Offensive Rebound %28.7%

30.7%Free Throw Rate32.5%

-10.3Average Margin6.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Wisconsin HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY97.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMWisconsin holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (64.5–36.1), offensive efficiency (118.6–99.4), defensive efficiency (108.8–114.9), net efficiency (9.8–-15.5).

Chicago State COUNTERS WITHoffensive rebounding (29.1–28.7).

Final

Chicago State

53—74

Wisconsin

Wisconsin by 21 • 66.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Chicago StateTEAM STATWisconsin

20-59FG23-59

34.0%FG%39.0%

6-243PT10-30

25.0%3PT%33.0%

7-7FT18-21

100.0%FT%86.0%

33Rebounds41

7Offensive Rebounds11

8Assists17

11Turnovers8

3Steals3

5Blocks4

20Fouls10

Player Box Score

Chicago State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jalen Forrest	G	26	4-8	0-2	2-2	3	1	0	1	10
Noble Crawford	Forward	16	3-7	2-3	0-0	4	1	1	0	8
Greg Spate	G	14	3-6	2-4	0-0	0	0	0	0	8
Gabe Spinelli	G	30	2-7	0-1	2-2	11	3	0	0	6
Matthew Robinson	Guard	28	2-9	0-5	2-2	3	0	1	1	6
Troy McKoy Jr.	Guard	19	2-6	1-5	1-1	2	1	0	0	6
Cameron Jernigan	Forward	22	2-5	0-1	0-0	2	1	1	0	4
Joe Spinelli	Guard	2	1-1	1-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
Saxby Sunderland	Guard	23	1-6	0-1	0-0	4	1	0	1	2
CJ Delancy	F	16	0-4	0-1	0-0	3	0	0	1	0
Michael Brown	Forward	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	1	0
Dailliss Cox	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Wisconsin

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
John Tonje	Guard	29	5-12	3-6	9-10	5	3	1	0	22
Nolan Winter	F	20	4-4	1-1	3-3	6	1	0	0	12
Steve Crowl	Forward	28	4-7	0-0	1-2	7	5	0	3	9
Xavier Amos	F	13	3-8	2-4	0-0	1	0	0	0	8
John Blackwell	G	27	2-8	1-5	2-2	4	0	1	1	7
Max Klesmit	Guard	26	2-9	1-7	0-0	2	5	0	0	5
Jack Janicki	G	18	1-3	1-3	0-0	5	1	0	0	3
Riccardo Greppi	F	2	0-0	0-0	3-4	2	0	0	0	3
Markus Ilver	Forward	2	1-3	1-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Carter Gilmore	Forward	12	1-2	0-1	0-0	1	1	0	0	2
Kamari McGee	Guard	15	0-2	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Daniel Freitag	G	5	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	1	1	0	0
Camren Hunter	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Isaac Gard	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.2Possessions66.2

80.1Offensive Efficiency111.8

111.8Defensive Efficiency80.1

-31.7Net Efficiency31.7

39.0%Effective FG%47.5%

42.5%True Shooting %53.6%

16.6%Turnover Rate12.1%

11.9%Free Throw Rate35.6%

40.7%3-Point Rate50.8%

0.73Assist / Turnover2.13

Game Summary

Wisconsin won by 21 points. The game played at approximately 66.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.