Cincinnati

18-15

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

43.2%Cincinnati

56.8%Villanova

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADVillanova -2.9

PROJECTED TOTAL145.3

MODEL MONEYLINEVillanova -131

Villanova

24-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCincinnati 71

Projected Total145.3

Projected ScoreVillanova 74

Team Comparison

CincinnatiMetricVillanova

61.5MMH Power Index59.4

105.3Offensive Efficiency114.7

97.3Defensive Efficiency105.9

8.0Net Efficiency8.8

5.1Strength of Schedule4.4

14.4Last 10 Net Efficiency-1.1

69.4Tempo67.3

50.6%Effective FG%53.9%

17.0%Turnover Rate15.0%

30.6%Offensive Rebound %31.8%

30.7%Free Throw Rate31.4%

5.5Average Margin5.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Villanova HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY56.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMVillanova holds the advantage in offensive efficiency (114.7–105.3), net efficiency (8.8–8.0), shooting efficiency (53.9–50.6), ball security (15.0–17.0).

Cincinnati COUNTERS WITHMMH Power Index (61.5–59.4), defensive efficiency (97.3–105.9), strength of schedule (5.1–4.4).

Final

Cincinnati

60—68

Villanova

Villanova by 8 • 58.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

CincinnatiTEAM STATVillanova

23-60FG23-47

38.0%FG%49.0%

8-263PT8-20

31.0%3PT%40.0%

6-11FT14-17

55.0%FT%82.0%

33Rebounds32

13Offensive Rebounds6

10Assists11

6Turnovers9

6Steals1

—Blocks6

15Fouls14

Player Box Score

Cincinnati

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Jizzle James	G	33	8-18	2-6	1-2	4	5	0	19
Simas Lukosius	Guard	33	4-14	3-9	2-2	5	1	1	13
Dillon Mitchell	F	27	4-6	1-1	0-0	4	1	2	9
Day Day Thomas	G	22	3-8	1-4	1-2	3	2	1	8
Josh Reed	F	16	2-3	1-2	1-2	3	0	0	6
Aziz Bandaogo	Forward	21	1-4	0-0	1-2	5	0	1	3
Connor Hickman	G	23	1-4	0-2	0-0	1	1	0	2
Arrinten Page	F	16	0-2	0-1	0-1	2	0	1	0
Tyler Betsey	F	9	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0

Villanova

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Eric Dixon	Forward	33	11-23	3-7	6-9	7	0	0	0	31
Jhamir Brickus	Guard	33	4-8	3-5	2-2	0	9	0	0	13
Wooga Poplar	Guard	34	3-4	0-0	6-6	10	1	0	0	12
Tyler Perkins	G	24	2-4	2-4	0-0	5	0	1	0	6
Jordan Longino	Guard	33	1-6	0-4	0-0	1	0	0	2	2
Enoch Boakye	Forward	28	1-1	0-0	0-0	3	1	0	4	2
Josiah Moseley	F	8	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Kris Parker	G	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Nnanna Njoku	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

58.2Possessions58.2

103.1Offensive Efficiency116.8

116.8Defensive Efficiency103.1

-13.7Net Efficiency13.7

45.0%Effective FG%57.4%

46.0%True Shooting %61.7%

10.3%Turnover Rate15.5%

18.3%Free Throw Rate36.2%

43.3%3-Point Rate42.6%

1.67Assist / Turnover1.22

Game Summary

Villanova won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 58.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.