Auburn

21-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

8.0%Auburn

92.0%Duke

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADDuke -17.8

PROJECTED TOTAL156.2

MODEL MONEYLINEDuke -1150

Duke

35-3

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreAuburn 69

Projected Total156.2

Projected ScoreDuke 87

Team Comparison

AuburnMetricDuke

64.4MMH Power Index81.7

118.8Offensive Efficiency122.2

113.0Defensive Efficiency95.2

5.8Net Efficiency27.0

7.5Strength of Schedule7.8

8.0Last 10 Net Efficiency18.7

69.8Tempo66.8

53.1%Effective FG%56.9%

14.5%Turnover Rate15.9%

36.5%Offensive Rebound %38.2%

43.8%Free Throw Rate39.0%

4.1Average Margin18.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Duke HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY92.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMDuke holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (81.7–64.4), offensive efficiency (122.2–118.8), defensive efficiency (95.2–113.0), net efficiency (27.0–5.8).

Auburn COUNTERS WITHball security (14.5–15.9), free throw rate (43.8–39.0).

Final

Auburn

78—84

Duke

Duke by 6 • 62.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

AuburnTEAM STATDuke

29-64FG29-58

45.0%FG%50.0%

10-253PT9-22

40.0%3PT%41.0%

10-12FT17-27

83.0%FT%63.0%

39Rebounds34

15Offensive Rebounds12

17Assists11

8Turnovers4

4Steals7

3Blocks4

20Fouls14

Player Box Score

Auburn

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Johni Broome	Forward	37	8-18	0-3	4-6	12	3	0	1	20
Tahaad Pettiford	G	18	8-15	4-8	0-0	1	3	1	0	20
Chad Baker-Mazara	G	30	5-8	2-2	5-5	2	3	0	1	17
Miles Kelly	Guard	37	5-7	4-5	0-0	3	0	3	0	14
Chaney Johnson	Forward	22	2-7	0-3	1-1	6	2	0	0	5
Chris Moore	Forward	13	1-3	0-2	0-0	3	0	0	0	2
Denver Jones	Guard	28	0-4	0-1	0-0	3	4	0	0	0
Dylan Cardwell	Center	11	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	1	0
JP Pegues	Guard	4	0-2	0-1	0-0	2	1	0	0	0

Duke

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Cooper Flagg	Forward	38	7-18	0-4	8-12	11	4	3	2	22
Isaiah Evans	G	16	6-9	6-8	0-0	1	0	0	0	18
Tyrese Proctor	Guard	28	4-10	2-5	2-2	5	1	1	0	12
Caleb Foster	G	20	4-8	1-2	2-4	0	2	0	0	11
Sion James	Guard	23	3-6	0-2	3-6	5	0	3	2	9
Kon Knueppel	Guard	31	2-3	0-1	2-2	2	3	0	0	6
Maliq Brown	F	25	2-3	0-0	0-1	6	1	0	0	4
Khaman Maluach	Center	15	1-1	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	2
Mason Gillis	Forward	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

62.8Possessions62.8

124.2Offensive Efficiency133.8

133.8Defensive Efficiency124.2

-9.6Net Efficiency9.6

53.1%Effective FG%57.8%

56.0%True Shooting %59.3%

12.8%Turnover Rate6.4%

18.8%Free Throw Rate46.6%

39.1%3-Point Rate37.9%

2.13Assist / Turnover2.75

Game Summary

Duke won by 6 points. The game played at approximately 62.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.