Oregon

12-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

39.1%Oregon

60.9%USC

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUSC -4.7

PROJECTED TOTAL152.8

MODEL MONEYLINEUSC -156

USC

18-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreOregon 74

Projected Total152.8

Projected ScoreUSC 79

Team Comparison

OregonMetricUSC

48.9MMH Power Index48.3

106.4Offensive Efficiency108.5

110.7Defensive Efficiency107.6

-4.3Net Efficiency0.9

6.0Strength of Schedule2.5

-6.7Last 10 Net Efficiency-16.0

66.7Tempo72.4

49.9%Effective FG%50.7%

17.8%Turnover Rate17.2%

31.6%Offensive Rebound %33.2%

36.9%Free Throw Rate45.3%

-2.9Average Margin0.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

USC HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY60.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUSC holds the advantage in offensive efficiency (108.5–106.4), defensive efficiency (107.6–110.7), net efficiency (0.9–-4.3), shooting efficiency (50.7–49.9).

Oregon COUNTERS WITHMMH Power Index (48.9–48.3), strength of schedule (6.0–2.5), recent form (-6.7–-16.0).

Final

Oregon

68—60

USC

Oregon by 8 • 68.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

OregonTEAM STATUSC

21-55FG19-55

38.0%FG%35.0%

8-233PT2-13

35.0%3PT%15.0%

18-24FT20-26

75.0%FT%77.0%

34Rebounds35

13Offensive Rebounds12

13Assists9

14Turnovers14

9Steals6

7Blocks5

21Fouls22

Player Box Score

Oregon

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jackson Shelstad	G	34	5-13	2-8	12-14	2	1	1	0	24
Keeshawn Barthelemy	Guard	31	6-9	4-5	2-2	2	5	3	1	18
Brandon Angel	Forward	29	3-4	1-1	1-1	7	3	0	0	8
TJ Bamba	Guard	33	2-13	1-5	1-2	5	2	4	0	6
Nate Bittle	C	21	2-5	0-0	1-3	6	0	1	3	5
Supreme Cook	Not Available	8	1-2	0-0	1-2	2	0	0	0	3
Jadrian Tracey	G	13	1-3	0-1	0-0	3	1	0	1	2
Mookie Cook	F	6	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	2	2
Kwame Evans Jr.	F	11	0-2	0-1	0-0	2	1	0	0	0
Ra'Heim Moss	Guard	9	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Jamari Phillips	G	5	0-2	0-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

USC

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Desmond Claude	G	38	9-20	0-1	4-7	4	4	0	0	22
Chibuzo Agbo	Guard	32	3-11	2-8	10-10	5	1	1	0	18
Terrance Williams II	F	36	3-8	0-3	3-4	6	0	1	0	9
Kevin Patton Jr.	G	22	3-5	0-0	2-3	6	1	1	2	8
Josh Cohen	Forward	14	1-3	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	1	2
Wesley Yates III	G	10	0-2	0-0	1-2	1	0	0	0	1
Saint Thomas	Forward	29	0-6	0-1	0-0	7	2	3	0	0
Matt Knowling	Forward	18	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	2	0
Isaiah Elohim	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.4Possessions68.4

99.4Offensive Efficiency87.7

87.7Defensive Efficiency99.4

11.7Net Efficiency-11.7

45.5%Effective FG%36.4%

51.2%True Shooting %44.5%

20.8%Turnover Rate20.2%

43.6%Free Throw Rate47.3%

41.8%3-Point Rate23.6%

0.93Assist / Turnover0.64

Game Summary

Oregon won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 68.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.