Virginia

30-6

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

15.3%Virginia

84.7%Florida

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADFlorida -11.5

PROJECTED TOTAL156.9

MODEL MONEYLINEFlorida -554

Florida

27-8

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreVirginia 73

Projected Total156.9

Projected ScoreFlorida 84

Team Comparison

VirginiaMetricFlorida

68.9MMH Power Index79.7

119.0Offensive Efficiency120.9

101.8Defensive Efficiency99.3

17.2Net Efficiency21.6

5.2Strength of Schedule7.1

6.4Last 10 Net Efficiency24.2

67.6Tempo72.0

55.0%Effective FG%54.2%

16.0%Turnover Rate16.3%

37.4%Offensive Rebound %42.8%

33.2%Free Throw Rate39.8%

11.6Average Margin15.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Florida HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY84.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMFlorida holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (79.7–68.9), offensive efficiency (120.9–119.0), defensive efficiency (99.3–101.8), net efficiency (21.6–17.2).

Virginia COUNTERS WITHshooting efficiency (55.0–54.2), ball security (16.0–16.3).

Final

Virginia

69—87

Florida

Florida by 18 • 64.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

VirginiaTEAM STATFlorida

26-57FG31-60

46.0%FG%52.0%

8-213PT10-25

38.0%3PT%40.0%

9-10FT15-21

90.0%FT%71.0%

34Rebounds30

13Offensive Rebounds11

14Assists14

15Turnovers6

2Steals9

2Blocks3

17Fouls12

Player Box Score

Virginia

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Elijah Saunders	F	33	6-12	3-5	4-4	5	1	1	0	19
Isaac McKneely	G	36	4-10	4-8	0-1	7	5	0	0	12
Taine Murray	Guard	25	4-5	0-1	0-0	3	0	0	0	8
Blake Buchanan	F	22	4-6	0-1	0-0	5	1	0	2	8
Jacob Cofie	F	18	3-9	0-3	2-2	6	2	1	0	8
Dai Dai Ames	G	27	3-9	1-1	0-0	1	2	0	0	7
Andrew Rohde	G	26	1-4	0-1	2-2	1	3	0	0	4
Anthony Robinson	F	3	1-1	0-0	1-1	1	0	0	0	3
TJ Power	F	5	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Ishan Sharma	F	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Florida

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Walter Clayton Jr.	Guard	34	10-19	5-12	2-2	3	4	2	0	27
Alex Condon	F	25	7-8	1-1	4-6	8	2	2	1	19
Alijah Martin	Guard	34	6-14	1-6	3-4	5	1	1	0	16
Denzel Aberdeen	G	21	4-5	2-2	2-3	1	1	1	0	12
Thomas Haugh	F	23	2-3	0-1	2-2	2	3	1	1	6
Will Richard	Guard	31	1-5	1-3	2-2	1	1	2	0	5
Sam Alexis	F	14	1-2	0-0	0-0	6	2	0	0	2
Rueben Chinyelu	C	18	0-4	0-0	0-2	4	0	0	1	0

Advanced Game Stats

64.4Possessions64.4

107.1Offensive Efficiency135.1

135.1Defensive Efficiency107.1

-28.0Net Efficiency28.0

52.6%Effective FG%60.0%

55.9%True Shooting %62.2%

23.5%Turnover Rate9.2%

17.5%Free Throw Rate35.0%

36.8%3-Point Rate41.7%

0.93Assist / Turnover2.33

Game Summary

Florida won by 18 points. The game played at approximately 64.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.