Baylor

16-17

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

14.6%Baylor

85.4%UConn

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUConn -12.4

PROJECTED TOTAL151.8

MODEL MONEYLINEUConn -585

UConn

34-5

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreBaylor 70

Projected Total151.8

Projected ScoreUConn 82

Team Comparison

BaylorMetricUConn

58.9MMH Power Index70.2

116.7Offensive Efficiency116.3

109.5Defensive Efficiency98.4

7.2Net Efficiency17.9

4.0Strength of Schedule6.3

-2.2Last 10 Net Efficiency9.4

69.7Tempo66.2

54.4%Effective FG%55.0%

16.4%Turnover Rate16.4%

37.5%Offensive Rebound %35.4%

34.8%Free Throw Rate30.7%

5.1Average Margin11.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UConn HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY85.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUConn holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (70.2–58.9), defensive efficiency (98.4–109.5), net efficiency (17.9–7.2), strength of schedule (6.3–4.0).

Baylor COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (116.7–116.3), offensive rebounding (37.5–35.4), free throw rate (34.8–30.7).

Final

Baylor

72—76

UConn

UConn by 4 • 60.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

BaylorTEAM STATUConn

27-55FG21-46

49.0%FG%46.0%

6-173PT8-25

35.0%3PT%32.0%

12-19FT26-33

63.0%FT%79.0%

30Rebounds29

13Offensive Rebounds9

9Assists14

10Turnovers7

3Steals3

2Blocks8

25Fouls19

Player Box Score

Baylor

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Robert Wright III	G	33	9-14	1-3	3-5	1	4	1	0	22
Langston Love	G	36	6-12	3-5	1-1	2	1	1	0	16
Norchad Omier	Forward	31	5-10	0-2	4-6	7	2	1	2	14
Jeremy Roach	Guard	23	3-6	1-2	2-3	1	0	0	0	9
Jayden Nunn	Guard	31	3-7	1-2	1-1	1	0	0	0	8
Josh Ojianwuna	F	30	1-3	0-0	1-3	14	0	0	0	3
Jalen Celestine	G	16	0-3	0-3	0-0	1	2	0	0	0

UConn

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Liam McNeeley	Forward	36	5-13	2-7	5-5	8	1	0	3	17
Samson Johnson	Center	22	4-4	0-0	5-6	4	0	1	2	13
Solo Ball	G	30	3-7	3-6	2-2	1	0	0	1	11
Tarris Reed Jr.	C	28	3-6	0-0	3-4	5	2	0	2	9
Hassan Diarra	Guard	27	1-6	0-5	7-10	2	7	0	0	9
Aidan Mahaney	G	18	3-4	3-4	0-0	2	1	1	0	9
Jaylin Stewart	F	24	1-3	0-1	4-6	4	1	1	0	6
Jayden Ross	F	15	1-3	0-2	0-0	2	2	0	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

60.4Possessions60.4

119.2Offensive Efficiency125.8

125.8Defensive Efficiency119.2

-6.6Net Efficiency6.6

54.5%Effective FG%54.3%

56.2%True Shooting %61.6%

16.4%Turnover Rate11.7%

34.5%Free Throw Rate71.7%

30.9%3-Point Rate54.3%

0.90Assist / Turnover2.00

Game Summary

UConn won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 60.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.