Purdue

30-9

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

94.9%Purdue

5.1%Penn State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADPurdue -17.6

PROJECTED TOTAL155.3

MODEL MONEYLINEPurdue -1861

Penn State

12-20

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScorePurdue 86

Projected Total155.3

Projected ScorePenn State 69

Team Comparison

PurdueMetricPenn State

73.2MMH Power Index42.3

124.8Offensive Efficiency109.2

107.8Defensive Efficiency117.6

17.0Net Efficiency-8.4

7.6Strength of Schedule5.3

11.8Last 10 Net Efficiency-20.8

65.4Tempo67.5

57.8%Effective FG%53.4%

13.7%Turnover Rate15.6%

36.2%Offensive Rebound %25.6%

29.1%Free Throw Rate34.6%

11.1Average Margin-5.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Purdue HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY94.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMPurdue holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (73.2–42.3), offensive efficiency (124.8–109.2), defensive efficiency (107.8–117.6), net efficiency (17.0–-8.4).

Penn State COUNTERS WITHfree throw rate (34.6–29.1).

Final

Purdue

70—81

Penn State

Penn State by 11 • 71.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

PurdueTEAM STATPenn State

24-47FG23-47

51.0%FG%49.0%

8-213PT7-18

38.0%3PT%39.0%

14-19FT28-32

74.0%FT%88.0%

27Rebounds27

7Offensive Rebounds8

17Assists14

24Turnovers16

9Steals14

—Blocks2

22Fouls20

Player Box Score

Purdue

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Trey Kaufman-Renn	F	29	5-8	1-1	4-7	2	2	1	15
Fletcher Loyer	G	28	3-10	1-4	8-8	4	2	1	15
C.J. Cox	G	19	5-8	2-5	0-2	0	2	1	12
Braden Smith	G	27	3-5	0-1	0-0	3	5	1	6
Myles Colvin	G	22	2-3	2-3	0-0	1	1	1	6
Gicarri Harris	G	18	2-5	1-3	0-0	2	2	0	5
Brian Waddell	F	6	1-1	1-1	2-2	1	3	0	5
Raleigh Burgess	F	13	2-4	0-2	0-0	2	0	1	4
Caleb Furst	Forward	8	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	2
Camden Heide	F	20	0-2	0-1	0-0	3	0	3	0
Will Berg	C	10	0-0	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	0

Penn State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ace Baldwin Jr.	Guard	29	2-5	1-3	12-12	2	6	0	0	17
Freddie Dilione V	G	26	6-11	2-3	0-0	3	3	2	0	14
Puff Johnson	G	26	4-9	1-5	4-4	5	0	4	0	13
Nick Kern Jr.	Guard	28	4-6	0-0	4-5	8	3	3	0	12
Zach Hicks	Forward	31	3-6	2-5	3-4	3	1	1	1	11
Yanic Konan Niederhauser	Forward	20	2-3	0-0	2-3	2	0	1	1	6
D'Marco Dunn	Guard	19	1-3	1-2	3-4	2	1	3	0	6
Jahvin Carter	G	11	1-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Kachi Nzeh	F	6	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Dominick Stewart	G	4	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

71.6Possessions71.6

97.8Offensive Efficiency113.1

113.1Defensive Efficiency97.8

-15.4Net Efficiency15.4

59.6%Effective FG%56.4%

62.5%True Shooting %65.1%

32.9%Turnover Rate22.8%

40.4%Free Throw Rate68.1%

44.7%3-Point Rate38.3%

0.71Assist / Turnover0.88

Game Summary

Penn State won by 11 points. The game played at approximately 71.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.