Kentucky logo

Kentucky

22-14
GAME THAT MATTERSAT
13.0%Kentucky
87.0%Gonzaga
MMH WIN PROBABILITY
MODEL SPREADGonzaga -14.3
PROJECTED TOTAL155.3
MODEL MONEYLINEGonzaga -669
Gonzaga logo

Gonzaga

31-4
MMH MODEL PROJECTION
Projected ScoreKentucky 71
Projected Total155.3
Projected ScoreGonzaga 85

Team Comparison

63.9MMH Power Index76.4
115.2Offensive Efficiency119.7
106.3Defensive Efficiency94.0
8.9Net Efficiency25.7
8.7Strength of Schedule3.0
-1.0Last 10 Net Efficiency18.2
69.9Tempo70.4
53.2%Effective FG%55.7%
15.4%Turnover Rate13.6%
33.2%Offensive Rebound %35.0%
38.0%Free Throw Rate31.5%
6.2Average Margin18.1
MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE
MODEL READ

Gonzaga HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY87.0%
STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE
9–2
MMH comparison metrics
WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMGonzaga holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (76.4–63.9), offensive efficiency (119.7–115.2), defensive efficiency (94.0–106.3), net efficiency (25.7–8.9).
Kentucky COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (8.7–3.0), free throw rate (38.0–31.5).
Final
Kentucky logo
Kentucky
90—89
Gonzaga logo
Gonzaga
Kentucky by 1 • 74.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

KentuckyTEAM STATGonzaga
34-75FG33-71
45.0%FG%46.0%
7-253PT6-27
28.0%3PT%22.0%
15-18FT17-24
83.0%FT%71.0%
43Rebounds42
16Offensive Rebounds15
17Assists17
7Turnovers6
1Steals2
4Blocks2
21Fouls15

Player Box Score

Kentucky
PlayerPosMinFG3PTFTREBASTSTLBLKTOPFPTS
Andrew CarrForward338-120-13-573010019
Jaxson RobinsonGuard367-152-52-235100018
Otega OwehG384-110-15-663000013
Amari WilliamsCenter265-80-02-230020012
Brandon GarrisonF174-71-21-191010010
Kerr KriisaG273-72-50-03400008
Koby BreaGuard312-91-60-07100005
Ansley AlmonorForward101-41-32-22000005
Collin ChandlerG50-10-10-00000000
Travis PerryG20-10-10-00000000
Gonzaga
PlayerPosMinFG3PTFTREBASTSTLBLKTOPFPTS
Graham IkeF359-161-29-14114000028
Ben GreggForward245-110-34-570000014
Ryan NembhardGuard426-121-50-0510100013
Khalif BattleGuard355-91-52-241000013
Nolan HickmanGuard384-101-70-02101009
Dusty StromerG182-52-30-14010006
Michael AjayiF211-40-12-23100004
Braden HuffF91-40-10-03000002
Emmanuel InnocentiF30-00-00-00001000

Advanced Game Stats

74.0Possessions74.0
121.6Offensive Efficiency120.3
120.3Defensive Efficiency121.6
1.4Net Efficiency-1.4
50.0%Effective FG%50.7%
53.9%True Shooting %54.0%
9.4%Turnover Rate8.2%
24.0%Free Throw Rate33.8%
33.3%3-Point Rate38.0%
2.43Assist / Turnover2.83
Game Summary
Kentucky won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 74.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.