Wagner

14-17

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

33.7%Wagner

66.3%Central Connecticut

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCentral Connecticut -5.4

PROJECTED TOTAL144.5

MODEL MONEYLINECentral Connecticut -197

Central Connecticut

18-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreWagner 70

Projected Total144.5

Projected ScoreCentral Connecticut 75

Team Comparison

WagnerMetricCentral Connecticut

42.9MMH Power Index44.4

105.5Offensive Efficiency111.4

106.1Defensive Efficiency107.0

-0.6Net Efficiency4.4

-5.0Strength of Schedule-7.7

0.3Last 10 Net Efficiency-0.5

67.6Tempo66.3

50.2%Effective FG%54.0%

18.9%Turnover Rate15.9%

34.0%Offensive Rebound %28.2%

31.6%Free Throw Rate31.3%

-0.4Average Margin2.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Central Connecticut HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY66.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCentral Connecticut holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (44.4–42.9), offensive efficiency (111.4–105.5), net efficiency (4.4–-0.6), shooting efficiency (54.0–50.2).

Wagner COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (106.1–107.0), strength of schedule (-5.0–-7.7), recent form (0.3–-0.5).

Final

Wagner

70—60

Central Connecticut

Wagner by 10 • 61.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

WagnerTEAM STATCentral Connecticut

26-58FG22-58

45.0%FG%38.0%

7-203PT6-17

35.0%3PT%35.0%

11-12FT10-15

92.0%FT%67.0%

33Rebounds34

8Offensive Rebounds10

9Assists8

5Turnovers7

3Steals1

3Blocks7

15Fouls16

Player Box Score

Wagner

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
John Awoke	G	36	5-10	4-7	4-4	4	3	0	0	18
Nick Jones	G	37	5-10	2-2	5-6	5	2	1	0	17
Binael Basil	F	27	8-15	0-1	0-0	8	0	1	2	16
Eddie Placer	G	24	2-5	0-3	2-2	0	2	1	0	6
Travis Gray	G	5	2-2	1-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	5
Zavier Fitch	F	26	2-5	0-2	0-0	7	1	0	0	4
Bryan Akanmu	F	28	1-7	0-1	0-0	5	1	0	1	2
Makhai Anderson	G	8	1-2	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Michael Cooper	G	9	0-2	0-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Central Connecticut

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Darin Smith Jr.	F	37	8-23	3-6	10-13	13	1	0	0	29
Max Frazier	F	36	5-8	0-0	0-0	3	1	0	3	10
Melo Sanchez	G	32	3-6	1-4	0-0	1	2	1	1	7
James Jones	G	34	2-7	0-1	0-2	7	1	0	1	4
Jay Rodgers	G	18	1-6	1-2	0-0	1	2	0	1	3
Roddy Jones	G	9	1-1	1-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Elijah Parker	G	15	1-2	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	2
Daniel James	F	11	1-2	0-1	0-0	2	1	0	0	2
Ashton Reynolds	G	6	0-2	0-2	0-0	0	0	0	1	0
Jayden Mott	F	2	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

61.4Possessions61.4

114.0Offensive Efficiency97.7

97.7Defensive Efficiency114.0

16.3Net Efficiency-16.3

50.9%Effective FG%43.1%

54.9%True Shooting %46.1%

8.2%Turnover Rate11.3%

20.7%Free Throw Rate25.9%

34.5%3-Point Rate29.3%

1.80Assist / Turnover1.14

Game Summary

Wagner won by 10 points. The game played at approximately 61.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.