Jacksonville

12-20

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

34.2%Jacksonville

65.8%Bellarmine

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADBellarmine -4.0

PROJECTED TOTAL157.1

MODEL MONEYLINEBellarmine -192

Bellarmine

13-19

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreJacksonville 77

Projected Total157.1

Projected ScoreBellarmine 81

Team Comparison

JacksonvilleMetricBellarmine

43.6MMH Power Index44.9

109.8Offensive Efficiency119.6

110.3Defensive Efficiency122.1

-0.5Net Efficiency-2.5

-4.8Strength of Schedule-2.8

-3.2Last 10 Net Efficiency0.3

66.6Tempo66.9

51.7%Effective FG%60.0%

16.9%Turnover Rate15.3%

33.6%Offensive Rebound %22.7%

33.9%Free Throw Rate35.3%

-0.3Average Margin-1.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Bellarmine HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY65.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMBellarmine holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (44.9–43.6), offensive efficiency (119.6–109.8), strength of schedule (-2.8–-4.8), recent form (0.3–-3.2).

Jacksonville COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (110.3–122.1), net efficiency (-0.5–-2.5), offensive rebounding (33.6–22.7).

Final

Jacksonville

79—82

Bellarmine

Bellarmine by 3 • 63.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

JacksonvilleTEAM STATBellarmine

29-65FG28-54

45.0%FG%52.0%

9-193PT9-20

47.0%3PT%45.0%

12-17FT17-20

71.0%FT%85.0%

37Rebounds29

15Offensive Rebounds6

13Assists12

5Turnovers7

5Steals4

4Blocks4

17Fouls15

Player Box Score

Jacksonville

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Hayden Wood	G	38	8-13	2-4	5-6	6	2	0	1	23
Chris Lockett Jr.	G	36	9-18	3-7	1-3	4	2	1	0	22
Jaylen Jones	G	36	6-11	2-2	0-0	5	7	2	0	14
Jason Thirdkill Jr.	F	23	3-8	0-1	2-2	9	1	0	0	8
Chris Arias	G	20	2-5	2-3	2-2	0	0	0	1	8
Jaylen Jordon	F	18	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	1	0	2
Donovan Rivers	F	15	0-7	0-0	2-4	5	0	0	0	2
Evan Sterck	G	6	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	1	0	1	0
Enrico Borio	F	4	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	1	0	0
Charles Caporaso	C	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	1	0

Bellarmine

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jack Karasinski	F	35	10-18	2-8	9-10	5	1	0	1	31
Brian Waddell	F	35	5-8	2-2	3-4	7	1	0	1	15
Tyler Doyle	G	37	6-10	2-2	0-0	3	7	1	0	14
Kenyon Goodin	G	34	4-6	3-5	0-1	3	0	0	1	11
Sam Donald	F	24	2-4	0-1	3-3	2	0	1	1	7
Myles Watkins	G	17	1-3	0-0	0-0	4	3	2	0	2
Jacob Wassler	C	14	0-2	0-1	2-2	0	0	0	0	2
Donovan Hunter	F	4	0-3	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

63.8Possessions63.8

123.8Offensive Efficiency128.5

128.5Defensive Efficiency123.8

-4.7Net Efficiency4.7

51.5%Effective FG%60.2%

54.1%True Shooting %64.6%

7.9%Turnover Rate10.9%

26.2%Free Throw Rate37.0%

29.2%3-Point Rate37.0%

2.60Assist / Turnover1.71

Game Summary

Bellarmine won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 63.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, True Shooting %, Net Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.