Northern Kentucky

20-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

41.0%Northern Kentucky

59.0%Oakland

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADOakland -2.2

PROJECTED TOTAL167.5

MODEL MONEYLINEOakland -144

Oakland

16-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorthern Kentucky 83

Projected Total167.5

Projected ScoreOakland 85

Team Comparison

Northern KentuckyMetricOakland

53.9MMH Power Index52.6

114.9Offensive Efficiency115.7

107.1Defensive Efficiency114.5

7.8Net Efficiency1.2

-2.9Strength of Schedule2.1

4.6Last 10 Net Efficiency-1.4

72.3Tempo71.4

54.5%Effective FG%53.3%

16.3%Turnover Rate14.7%

33.0%Offensive Rebound %31.3%

37.1%Free Throw Rate38.5%

5.7Average Margin0.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Northern Kentucky HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY59.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorthern Kentucky holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.9–52.6), defensive efficiency (107.1–114.5), net efficiency (7.8–1.2), recent form (4.6–-1.4).

Oakland COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (115.7–114.9), strength of schedule (2.1–-2.9), ball security (14.7–16.3).

Final

Northern Kentucky

85—84

Oakland

Northern Kentucky by 1 • 73.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Northern KentuckyTEAM STATOakland

29-61FG31-74

48.0%FG%42.0%

9-283PT13-34

32.0%3PT%38.0%

18-30FT9-12

60.0%FT%75.0%

40Rebounds43

11Offensive Rebounds15

19Assists16

8Turnovers9

7Steals5

6Blocks2

15Fouls26

Player Box Score

Northern Kentucky

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Donovan Oday	G	31	7-11	2-4	3-4	4	4	2	1	19
LJ Wells	F	35	7-11	0-1	4-10	11	4	1	2	18
Dan Gherezgher	G	25	5-11	3-8	4-5	2	2	0	0	17
Kael Robinson	F	23	4-10	2-7	4-4	4	0	0	3	14
Tae Dozier	G	29	3-8	1-4	3-6	4	3	3	0	10
Donovan Rakotonanahary	G	15	2-2	0-0	0-0	3	0	1	0	4
Ethan Elliott	G	32	1-6	1-4	0-1	2	4	0	0	3
Ryan Tolliver	G	9	0-1	0-0	0-0	5	2	0	0	0
Shawn Nelson	G	1	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Oakland

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Brody Robinson	G	38	12-26	10-20	2-3	7	3	2	0	36
Isaac Garrett	F	28	6-10	1-2	1-3	6	2	0	0	14
Tuburu Naivalurua	F	33	5-7	0-1	2-2	8	4	2	1	12
Brett White II	G	29	2-9	2-8	4-4	4	2	0	1	10
Michael Houge	F	24	4-9	0-0	0-0	6	3	1	0	8
Ziare Wells	G	23	1-8	0-2	0-0	7	1	0	0	2
Khoi Thurmon	G	17	1-3	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	0	2
Warren Marshall IV	G	8	0-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

73.0Possessions73.0

116.4Offensive Efficiency115.1

115.1Defensive Efficiency116.4

1.4Net Efficiency-1.4

54.9%Effective FG%50.7%

56.5%True Shooting %52.7%

11.1%Turnover Rate12.2%

49.2%Free Throw Rate16.2%

45.9%3-Point Rate45.9%

2.38Assist / Turnover1.78

Game Summary

Northern Kentucky won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 73.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Effective FG%, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.