Drake

14-20

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

19.4%Drake

80.6%Southern Illinois

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSouthern Illinois -9.6

PROJECTED TOTAL147.4

MODEL MONEYLINESouthern Illinois -415

Southern Illinois

16-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreDrake 69

Projected Total147.4

Projected ScoreSouthern Illinois 79

Team Comparison

DrakeMetricSouthern Illinois

46.4MMH Power Index54.6

109.5Offensive Efficiency103.4

109.1Defensive Efficiency98.5

0.4Net Efficiency4.9

0.3Strength of Schedule1.6

-11.3Last 10 Net Efficiency7.7

68.6Tempo70.6

52.2%Effective FG%49.5%

14.9%Turnover Rate17.0%

27.2%Offensive Rebound %31.1%

34.4%Free Throw Rate32.3%

0.2Average Margin3.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Southern Illinois HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY80.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSouthern Illinois holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.6–46.4), defensive efficiency (98.5–109.1), net efficiency (4.9–0.4), strength of schedule (1.6–0.3).

Drake COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (109.5–103.4), shooting efficiency (52.2–49.5), ball security (14.9–17.0).

Final

Drake

67—63

Southern Illinois

Drake by 4 • 64.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

DrakeTEAM STATSouthern Illinois

24-56FG28-71

43.0%FG%39.0%

9-313PT4-25

29.0%3PT%16.0%

10-16FT3-9

63.0%FT%33.0%

31Rebounds48

9Offensive Rebounds21

14Assists12

10Turnovers10

6Steals6

4Blocks3

14Fouls14

Player Box Score

Drake

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jalen Quinn	G	39	8-17	1-4	5-9	4	1	1	0	22
Eli Shetlar	G	38	5-12	3-10	3-5	3	1	3	1	16
Owen Larson	G	31	5-12	4-9	0-0	3	4	0	0	14
Okku Federiko	F	24	3-5	0-1	0-0	4	3	1	1	6
Griffen Goodbary	F	11	1-1	1-1	2-2	2	2	0	2	5
Andrew Alia	G	36	2-4	0-2	0-0	11	2	1	0	4
Jaehshon Thomas	G	13	0-3	0-3	0-0	3	0	0	0	0
Isaiah Carr	F	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Wilguens Jr. Exacte	F	3	0-2	0-1	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

Southern Illinois

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Quel'Ron House	G	38	12-22	3-5	1-5	5	3	0	0	28
Davion Sykes	G	24	5-10	0-2	1-2	8	1	0	0	11
Rolyns Aligbe	F	31	3-11	1-4	0-0	16	2	1	0	7
Damien Mayo Jr.	G	36	3-11	0-5	0-0	3	2	2	0	6
Drew Steffe	G	35	3-11	0-7	0-0	4	1	0	0	6
Prince Aligbe	F	16	1-4	0-1	1-2	5	1	0	1	3
Jaheem Webber	C	8	1-1	0-0	0-0	3	2	1	2	2
Jalen Haynes	G	12	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	2	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

64.4Possessions64.4

104.0Offensive Efficiency97.8

97.8Defensive Efficiency104.0

6.2Net Efficiency-6.2

50.9%Effective FG%42.3%

52.7%True Shooting %41.8%

15.5%Turnover Rate15.6%

28.6%Free Throw Rate12.7%

55.4%3-Point Rate35.2%

1.40Assist / Turnover1.20

Game Summary

Drake won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 64.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.