Indiana State

11-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

24.6%Indiana State

75.4%Valparaiso

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADValparaiso -7.3

PROJECTED TOTAL146.7

MODEL MONEYLINEValparaiso -307

Valparaiso

18-15

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreIndiana State 70

Projected Total146.7

Projected ScoreValparaiso 77

Team Comparison

Indiana StateMetricValparaiso

44.4MMH Power Index49.9

104.7Offensive Efficiency106.6

106.0Defensive Efficiency105.8

-1.3Net Efficiency0.8

0.1Strength of Schedule0.3

-5.2Last 10 Net Efficiency-0.1

70.3Tempo67.5

53.6%Effective FG%48.7%

19.5%Turnover Rate15.6%

27.3%Offensive Rebound %32.4%

28.8%Free Throw Rate40.0%

-0.9Average Margin0.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Valparaiso HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY75.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMValparaiso holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (49.9–44.4), offensive efficiency (106.6–104.7), defensive efficiency (105.8–106.0), net efficiency (0.8–-1.3).

Indiana State COUNTERS WITHshooting efficiency (53.6–48.7).

Final

Indiana State

62—63

Valparaiso

Valparaiso by 1 • 59.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Indiana StateTEAM STATValparaiso

26-56FG21-57

46.0%FG%37.0%

7-233PT8-23

30.0%3PT%35.0%

3-4FT13-22

75.0%FT%59.0%

37Rebounds35

12Offensive Rebounds16

19Assists12

14Turnovers8

4Steals8

7Blocks4

18Fouls12

Player Box Score

Indiana State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Camp Wagner	G	34	5-13	3-9	0-0	8	4	0	0	13
Ian Scott	F	29	6-11	0-0	0-0	5	3	0	3	12
Enel St. Bernard	F	20	5-5	0-0	0-1	6	1	4	1	10
Jo Van Buggenhout	G	19	3-6	2-4	1-1	1	5	0	0	9
Bruno Alocen	G	27	2-6	1-4	2-2	5	2	0	0	7
Markus Harding	C	27	3-5	0-1	0-0	5	1	0	2	6
Sterling Young	G	13	1-3	1-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
Xavier Hall	G	27	1-7	0-3	0-0	2	3	0	1	2
Derek Vorst	C	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Valparaiso

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Rakim Chaney	G	36	6-16	4-10	2-2	5	5	3	0	18
JT Pettigrew	F	29	5-8	1-2	3-6	7	0	0	0	14
Brody Whitaker	G	33	3-8	2-5	2-2	3	1	1	0	10
Sader Servilus	G	16	1-2	1-1	4-6	4	1	1	0	7
Owen Dease	F	31	2-9	0-2	1-3	4	2	1	1	5
Shon Tupuola	C	23	2-5	0-0	0-0	4	2	0	2	4
Justus McNair	G	13	1-6	0-2	1-3	1	1	1	0	3
Carter Hopoi	F	15	1-2	0-0	0-0	2	0	1	1	2
Isaiah Barnes	G	3	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Kyonte Thomas	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

59.7Possessions59.7

103.9Offensive Efficiency105.5

105.5Defensive Efficiency103.9

-1.7Net Efficiency1.7

52.7%Effective FG%43.9%

53.5%True Shooting %46.7%

23.4%Turnover Rate13.5%

7.1%Free Throw Rate38.6%

41.1%3-Point Rate40.4%

1.36Assist / Turnover1.50

Game Summary

Valparaiso won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 59.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Turnover Rate, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.