Manhattan

12-20

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

15.3%Manhattan

84.7%Fairfield

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADFairfield -12.2

PROJECTED TOTAL151.2

MODEL MONEYLINEFairfield -554

Fairfield

21-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreManhattan 69

Projected Total151.2

Projected ScoreFairfield 82

Team Comparison

ManhattanMetricFairfield

39.3MMH Power Index50.1

107.1Offensive Efficiency109.6

114.2Defensive Efficiency105.4

-7.1Net Efficiency4.2

-3.6Strength of Schedule-3.4

-3.5Last 10 Net Efficiency3.3

69.1Tempo67.8

48.5%Effective FG%49.1%

15.4%Turnover Rate15.0%

29.8%Offensive Rebound %36.0%

34.8%Free Throw Rate28.4%

-4.9Average Margin2.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Fairfield HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY84.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMFairfield holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (50.1–39.3), offensive efficiency (109.6–107.1), defensive efficiency (105.4–114.2), net efficiency (4.2–-7.1).

Manhattan COUNTERS WITHfree throw rate (34.8–28.4).

Final

Manhattan

60—71

Fairfield

Fairfield by 11 • 67.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

ManhattanTEAM STATFairfield

23-55FG25-65

42.0%FG%38.0%

4-173PT10-27

24.0%3PT%37.0%

10-12FT11-15

83.0%FT%73.0%

34Rebounds37

9Offensive Rebounds13

9Assists14

16Turnovers9

6Steals6

1Blocks3

14Fouls8

Player Box Score

Manhattan

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Terrance Jones	G	34	5-13	1-4	5-5	4	4	0	1	16
Jaden Winston	G	38	4-12	2-3	5-6	1	1	3	0	15
Devin Dinkins	G	31	5-11	1-4	0-0	2	1	1	0	11
Anthony Isaac	F	29	5-6	0-0	0-1	10	1	1	0	10
Fraser Roxburgh	F	34	4-8	0-3	0-0	5	0	1	0	8
Marko Ljubicic	F	11	0-3	0-3	0-0	1	1	0	0	0
Quron Elliott	G	11	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	0	0
Erik Oliver-Bush	G	11	0-1	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	0
Asier Miguel	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Fairfield

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Braden Sparks	G	38	5-14	3-8	4-5	2	5	2	0	17
Brandon Benjamin	F	33	6-9	0-0	3-4	9	2	0	3	15
Tony Williams	G	27	4-8	3-5	0-0	1	1	2	0	11
Eric Mejia	G	21	3-8	2-4	2-2	2	1	1	0	10
Deuce Turner	G	25	3-11	2-5	0-0	2	2	1	0	8
Declan Wucherpfennig	G	36	2-8	0-1	1-2	13	3	0	0	5
Isaac Munkadi	F	7	1-2	0-0	1-2	3	0	0	0	3
Halon Rawlins	G	9	1-4	0-3	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Ryan Zan	F	4	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

67.9Possessions67.9

88.4Offensive Efficiency104.6

104.6Defensive Efficiency88.4

-16.2Net Efficiency16.2

45.5%Effective FG%46.2%

49.4%True Shooting %49.2%

23.6%Turnover Rate13.2%

21.8%Free Throw Rate23.1%

30.9%3-Point Rate41.5%

0.56Assist / Turnover1.56

Game Summary

Fairfield won by 11 points. The game played at approximately 67.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.